La Liga
Levante - Valencia
02/15/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.3
1.7
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
26%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- Extreme defensive fragility: Valencia's disastrous away record (3.0 goals conceded/game) meets Levante's vulnerable home defense (2.22 goals conceded/game)
- High pressure in the relegation battle: As a direct duel between 19th and 17th place, the stakes are enormous for both teams, which could lead to errors
- Negative form trend: Valencia is in freefall with three consecutive losses, while Levante has also only won one of their last five games
Risk Factors
- Reduced attacking power for Levante: The home team only has 65% of its seasonal goalscorers available, which could impact their offensive threat
- Low goal threat: Both teams average only 2.6 shots on target per game, which could lead to fewer goals than expected despite the weak defenses
Overview
Relegation battle in La Liga: Levante (19th place, 18 points) hosts Valencia (17th place, 23 points)
The match will take place on February 15, 2026, at 6:30 PM at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Both teams are fighting for crucial points to secure their top-flight status
Form
Levante has shown mixed form recently, with only one win in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Their form string is: D-L-W-D-L
Valencia is in a crisis, having lost their last three consecutive games
Their overall form from the last five games is: W-W-L-L-L (2 wins, 3 losses)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Both teams show significant defensive weaknesses
Levante concedes an average of 2.22 goals per game at home
Valencia's away form is even more alarming, with an average of 3.00 goals conceded per match
Offensively, both teams score around one goal per game on average (Levante 1.18, Valencia 1.00)
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Valencia has the upper hand with three wins, while Levante has won only once (one draw)
The goal difference also favors Valencia at 10:7
The last meeting was won by Valencia with a 1-0 scoreline
Key Players
For Levante, all eyes are on Karl Etta Eyong (5 season goals, 1 assist) and IvĂĄn Romero (4 goals, 1 assist)
Pablo MartĂnez (1 goal, 2 assists) is also a key player in midfield
Valencia's attack is led by top scorer Hugo Duro (7 goals)
Support comes from Luis Rioja (2 goals, 3 assists) and Lucas BeltrĂĄn (1 goal, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
In goal for Levante is Mathew Ryan, who has kept 4 clean sheets so far this season
For Valencia, Stole Dimitrievski is the goalkeeper and has managed 5 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers are often in the spotlight given their teams' vulnerable defenses
Influences
Levante's home advantage is weakened by the high number of goals they concede (average of 2.22 per home game)
The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia has recently seen high-scoring games, with an average of 2.8 goals in the last five matches
In 4 of Levante's last 5 home games, both teams scored