Friendly International

Korea Republic - Trinidad and Tobago

05/31/2026, 01:00 AM

5 : 0
Expected Goals
Korea Republic
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Trinidad and Tobago
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
KRTAT

Korea Republic

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.6 league avg)
-0.64
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
-0.37
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 23 vs 102, 79 places gap)
+0.10
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.09
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.09
Attack weakness (0.59x league average)
+0.01
Full strength squad available

Trinidad and Tobago

Defensive weakness (2.5 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+1.36
Attack weakness (0.7x league average)
-0.47
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.31
Standings disadvantage (pos 102 vs 23, 79 places gap)
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
+0.04
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Trinidad and Tobago: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 6 games)

  • 2
    Korea Republic with Jens Castrop: 3.8 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Korea Republic: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical favoritism: The analysis gives Korea Republic a home win probability of 48%
  • Current form: Korea Republic (WWWLL) shows more stable form than Trinidad and Tobago (DLLLD)
  • Tactical advantage: Korea Republic averages more possession (54%) and more shots on target (3.2) than Trinidad and Tobago
Risk Factors
  • Home attacking weakness: Korea Republic scored an average of 0.0 goals per home game this season
  • Away defensive weakness: Trinidad and Tobago conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Limited attacking power for guests: Trinidad and Tobago averaged only 1.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview

Korea Republic host Trinidad and Tobago at the Seoul World Cup Stadium for a Friendly International match. The game takes place on May 31, 2026, 2:00 AM. This fixture serves as an important preparation for both teams

Form

Korea Republic's form in their last five matches is WWWLL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), with their last two results being losses. Trinidad and Tobago show a form of DLLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), with their last game ending in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Korea Republic has scored 0 goals this season, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Trinidad and Tobago has scored 3 goals this season, averaging 1.0 goal per game, and conceded an average of 3.0 goals. Away from home, Trinidad and Tobago conceded an average of 3.0 goals. Korea Republic has scored 0 goals and conceded 4 goals in home matches

Head-to-Head

No direct head-to-head matches between these two teams are available in the dataset

Key Players

For Korea Republic, Heung-min Son (Attacker) stands out with 0 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games. Min-jae Kim (Defender) shows a rising form, and Young-woo Seol (Defender) has a stable form with an average rating of 6.77 in his last 5 games. For Trinidad and Tobago, Levi García (Attacker) has 2 season goals and Reon Moore (Attacker) has 1 goal in his last 5 games. Dantaye Gilbert (Attacker) shows stable form with an average rating of 6.43

Goalkeepers

Korea Republic's goalkeeper, Seung-gyu Kim, shows a rising form with an average rating of 6.88 in his last 3 games. Trinidad and Tobago's goalkeeper D. Smith has a declining form and zero clean sheets this season. Both teams have no clean sheets this season

Influences

Korea Republic conceded 4 goals in home games. Trinidad and Tobago conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game

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