La Liga
Elche - Osasuna
02/13/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.7
2.3
1:2
9%1:3
7%2:2
6%2:1
5%0:3
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
22%
Away Win
57%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
43%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Drastic difference in form: Osasuna is unbeaten in 5 matches, while Elche is winless in 5 and has lost the last 3
- Osasuna's offensive power: The visitors have been scoring significantly more goals recently (2.4 per game) than their season average (1.7), led by an in-form Ante Budimir
- Elche's defensive vulnerability: Despite a good home record for the season, Elche has conceded an average of 2.6 goals in recent games, indicating current weakness
Risk Factors
- Elche's home strength: Over the entire season, Elche has been very defensively stable at home (only 0.87 goals conceded on average)
- Osasuna's away weakness: The visitors are defensively vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.14 goals
- Historical record: Four of the last five head-to-head matches ended in a draw, which could suggest another tight game
Overview
Elche, in 15th place with 24 points, hosts Osasuna, who are 9th with 29 points
The La Liga match will take place on February 13, 2026, at 9:00 PM at the Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero
Elche aims to maintain distance from the relegation zone, while Osasuna looks to stay in the top half of the table
Form
The form of the two teams could hardly be more different
Elche's form (all competitions): LDLLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Osasuna's form (all competitions): DWWDW (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
Elche is winless in their last five matches and is on a three-game losing streak
In contrast, Osasuna is unbeaten in their last five games, showing strong upward momentum
In the league, Elche's form is DDWDW, while Osasuna's is LWLWL
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, Elche scores an average of 1.35 goals per game, while Osasuna averages 1.22 goals
Defensively, Osasuna is slightly more stable with an average of 1.22 goals conceded per game compared to Elche (1.52)
A key factor is the home and away record: Elche is defensively solid at home with only 0.87 goals conceded per game
Osasuna, however, is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.14 goals
Both teams scored in 16 of Elche's 23 league games this season
Head-to-Head
The head-to-head encounters have been very balanced in the recent past
In the last five meetings, Osasuna won once, while four matches ended in a draw
Elche remained winless in these games
The goal difference is very close at 6:5 in favor of Osasuna
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Elche's attack is led by Ălvaro RodrĂguez (5 season goals, 4 assists) and AndrĂ© Silva (5 goals)
GermĂĄn Valera has also contributed with 4 goals and 3 assists
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is the standout striker with 11 season goals
RubĂ©n GarcĂa is a key creator with 5 assists, while VĂctor Muñoz has scored 4 goals
Goalkeepers
MatĂas Dituro will be in goal for Elche
For Osasuna, Sergio Herrera will be the goalkeeper
Both teams have kept 5 clean sheets so far this season
Influences
Elche shows a solid defensive performance at home, conceding an average of only 0.87 goals per game
However, recent matches at the Estadio Manuel MartĂnez Valero have been very high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals per game and 100% of matches ending with over 2.5 goals
Osasuna is defensively vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.14 goals