Liga MX
Pumas UNAM - Cruz Azul
05/25/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul
League
The Lab
- 1Cruz Azul: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)
- 2Pumas UNAM: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
29%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Cruz Azul with 42% probability
- Cruz Azul is unbeaten in their last five games (3 wins, 2 draws), while Pumas show mixed form
- Cruz Azul averaged 6.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Pumas' 2.8
Risk Factors
- Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match, potentially leading to fatigue
- Pumas UNAM averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Two of the last five head-to-head matches ended in a draw, including the most recent 0-0 game
Overview
Pumas UNAM (10th place, 21 points) host Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) in a Liga MX match. The game takes place on May 25, 2026, 2:00 AM. Pumas aim to climb the table, while Cruz Azul seeks to solidify their position at the top.
Form
Pumas UNAM has shown a form of DDLWD in their last five games. This includes 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Cruz Azul presents a form of WWDWD in their last five fixtures. They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, with no losses. Their last game also ended in a draw.
Statistics
Pumas UNAM averages 1.65 goals scored per game and concedes 1.30 goals per game over the season. In home games, the average is 1.62 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded. The team kept 12 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 25 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches.
Cruz Azul has a season average of 1.77 goals scored per game and 1.09 goals conceded. Away from home, they averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded. They also achieved 12 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 30 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 23 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pumas UNAM secured 1 win, while Cruz Azul won 2 games. 2 matches ended in a draw. Pumas scored 7 goals and Cruz Azul scored 9 goals. The most recent encounter on May 22, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw.
Key Players
JordĂĄn Carrillo (Attacker) of Pumas UNAM has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he showed rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist.
Juninho (Attacker) contributed 8 goals and 4 assists this season. In his last 5 appearances, he recorded 1 goal and 1 assist.
Robert Morales (Attacker) has scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists this season.
José Paradela (Midfielder) of Cruz Azul has been involved in 10 goals and 10 assists this season. In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists, showing stable form.
Carlos RodrĂguez (Midfielder) has 8 goals and 6 assists this season. He contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games.
AgustĂn Palavecino (Midfielder) recorded 6 goals and 3 assists this season. He scored 1 goal in the last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Keylor Navas of Pumas UNAM played in 36 season matches. The team kept a clean sheet in 12 games.
Kevin Mier of Cruz Azul made 24 season appearances. His team also kept 12 clean sheets, indicating a higher clean sheet ratio per game.
Influences
Pumas UNAM averages 1.62 goals scored at home and concedes 1.05 goals. Cruz Azul averages 1.79 goals scored away and concedes 1.32 goals.