World Cup
Côte d'Ivoire - Ecuador
06/14/2026, 11:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.2
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
12%1:0
9%0:2
8%What influences the xG?
Côte d'Ivoire
Ecuador
League
The Lab
- 1Côte d'Ivoire with Christ Inao Oulaï: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 2Ecuador: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 3Ecuador with Willian Pacho: 1 goals/game. Without: 2.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
32%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Ecuador's Favoritism: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 41% probability and expected goals of 1.25 versus 0.99 for Côte d'Ivoire
- Ecuador's Defensive Strength: Ecuador recorded an impressive 13 clean sheets in 18 games this season, conceding an average of only 0.28 goals
- Current Form Trend: Both teams show positive form, Côte d'Ivoire with 4 consecutive wins and Ecuador unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for head-to-head matches, as no previous encounters are recorded
Overview
Côte d'Ivoire hosts Ecuador at Lincoln Financial Field in a World Cup match on June 15, 2026, 1:00 AM.
Both teams start in Group X, with Côte d'Ivoire in 2nd place and Ecuador in 3rd place, both with 0 points.
This encounter marks the start of the tournament for both nations
Form
Côte d'Ivoire's form across all competitions is LWWWW.
The team recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, with 4 consecutive wins.
Ecuador's form is WDDWW.
They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, with 2 consecutive wins.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Côte d'Ivoire is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6), indicating a positive form trend.
Ecuador is also currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5), also showing a positive form trend
Statistics
Côte d'Ivoire averaged 2.5 goals scored per game this season and conceded an average of 0.0 goals.
They kept 10 clean sheets in 10 games.
Ecuador averaged 0.78 goals scored per game this season and conceded an average of 0.28 goals.
They kept 13 clean sheets in 18 games.
Côte d'Ivoire recorded an average of 3.8 shots on target with 48% possession in their last 5 matches.
Ecuador was possession-dominant in their last 5 matches with 60% possession and an average of 5.0 shots on target
Head-to-Head
There are no previous head-to-head matches between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador in the provided dataset
Key Players
For Côte d'Ivoire, Bazoumana Touré (2 goals, 1 assist in 5 games) and Guela Doué (1 goal, 2 assists in 5 games) are important offensive players.
Nicolas Pépé contributed 3 assists in 4 games.
For Ecuador, Enner Valencia (2 goals in 5 games) and Alan Minda (2 goals in 5 games) stand out.
John Yeboah contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games
Goalkeepers
Yahia Fofana (Côte d'Ivoire) kept 10 clean sheets in 10 season games.
Hernán Galíndez (Ecuador) achieved 13 clean sheets in 18 games
Influences
Côte d'Ivoire performed particularly strongly in home games, with an average of 2.5 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded.
Ecuador averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded away from home