World Cup
England - Croatia
06/17/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
England
Croatia
League
The Lab
- 1Croatia with Marin Pongracic: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2England with Djed Spence: 1.6 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 8 games)
- 3Croatia: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4England: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with 34% home win and 34% away win probability
- England with a flawless defense (0.0 goals conceded season average) meets Croatia's strong offense (3.25 goals season average)
- AT&T Stadium showed a high goal count in the only known match, with 4.0 goals and both teams scoring
Risk Factors
- Limited data available regarding England's goal threat
- Both teams show a "Negative" form trend in goal production according to advanced statistics
- No specific data is available on the performance of either team on artificial turf
Overview
England (0 points) and Croatia (0 points) face off in the World Cup group stage at AT&T Stadium
The match takes place on June 17, 2026, 10:00 PM
Both teams are starting the tournament and aim for a successful kick-off
Form
England's form in their last five matches is WDLWW
This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Croatia's form over the last five games is WWLLW
This represents 3 wins and 2 losses
According to advanced statistics, the recent form trend for both teams is classified as "Negative"
England's goal production has stalled recently (avg 1.4 goals) compared to their season average (avg 1.8 goals)
Croatia's goal production has also decreased (avg 1.6 goals recently) compared to their season average (avg 2.8 goals)
Statistics
England has shown strong offense this season with an average of 2.75 goals per game
England's defense is very solid with an average of 0 goals conceded per game and 8 clean sheets
Croatia also impresses in attack with an average of 3.25 goals per game
The Croatian defense conceded an average of 0.5 goals per game and kept 5 clean sheets
In home games, England scored an average of 3.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals
Croatia scored an average of 3.67 goals and conceded 0.67 goals in away games
AT&T Stadium recorded 4.0 goals per game in the only known match
In this match, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches between England and Croatia, England recorded 2 wins
Croatia won 1 match, with no draws
England scored a total of 10 goals in these games, while Croatia scored 4 goals
The last encounter on July 11, 2018, ended in a 2-1 victory for Croatia
Key Players
For England, Harry Kane (5 goals in last 5 games, avg rating 7.57), Jude Bellingham (2 goals in last 5 games, avg rating 7.34), and Elliot Anderson (1 goal, 2 assists in last 5 games, avg rating 7.46) are significant
Croatia's key players are Ivan Perišić (2 goals, 3 assists in last 5 games, avg rating 7.43), Petar Musa (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, avg rating 6.74), and Luka Modrić (1 goal in last 5 games, avg rating 7.08)
Goalkeepers
England's goalkeeper Jordan Pickford kept 8 clean sheets this season
Dominik Livakovic of Croatia recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
England has a strong home record with an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded
Croatia demonstrates offensive strength away from home with an average of 3.67 goals and a solid defense with 0.67 goals conceded
AT&T Stadium, a venue with artificial turf, showed 4.0 goals per game in the past
There are no specific data available on the performance of either team on artificial turf