World Cup

Austria - Jordan

06/17/2026, 04:00 AM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Austria
2.0
Total xG
2.8
Jordan
0.8
Most Likely Scores

2:0

13%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

9%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
AUSJOR

Austria

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-3.06
Attack strength (1.39x league average)
+2.44
Defensive strength (0.7 conceded vs 2.5 league avg)
-1.80
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 22 vs 62, 40 places gap)
+0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (2 goals/match)
-0.09

Jordan

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.53
Defensive weakness (1.5 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.30
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.20
Standings disadvantage (pos 62 vs 22, 40 places gap)
-0.13

League

High-scoring league (3.7 goals/match)
+1.20
+1.20
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Jordan with Mousa Tamari: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Austria with Alexander Prass: 0.4 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

  • 3
    Jordan: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

22%

Away Win

12%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

88%

Away or Draw

34%

No Draw

78%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Austria with 66% probability
  • Austria's strong form (WDWWW) contrasts with Jordan's weak form (DDDLL)
  • Austria shows strong home performance with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per game
Risk Factors
  • The data available for direct encounters between the two teams is limited
  • Austria's current goal production of 2.0 goals is below their season average of 2.6 goals
  • Jordan is in a negative form trend with two consecutive losses
Overview

Austria faces Jordan at Levi's Stadium

World Cup group stage match on June 17, 2026, 6:00 AM

Both teams start the tournament with 0 points

Form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Austria is in strong form with WDWWW from their last five matches

They recently achieved three consecutive wins

Jordan shows a weaker form curve with DDDLL in their last five games

They recently suffered two consecutive losses

Statistics

Austria scored an average of 2.8 goals per home game and conceded only 0.4 goals

They kept 4 clean sheets in total

Jordan scored an average of 2.0 goals away and conceded 0.71 goals

They kept 6 clean sheets

At Levi's Stadium, the only game saw an average of 2.0 goals

Both teams scored in 1 of 1 games there, and 0 of 1 games had over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

No historical head-to-head matches between Austria and Jordan are available in the dataset

Key Players

For Austria, Marcel Sabitzer (1 goal in 353 mins), Romano Schmid (1 goal in 395 mins), and Sasa Kalajdzic (1 goal in 177 mins) show the best form

For Jordan, Odeh Fakhouri (2 goals, 1 assist in 211 mins), Mousa Tamari (1 goal, 1 assist in 350 mins), and Noor Al-Rawabdeh (2 assists in 406 mins) are noteworthy

Goalkeepers

Alexander Schlager is the goalkeeper for Austria and recorded 4 clean sheets

Yazeed Abulaila tends goal for Jordan and achieved 6 clean sheets

Influences

The match takes place at Levi's Stadium on natural grass

Austria's home strength is evident with an average of 2.8 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded per home game

Jordan shows an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded per away game

The stadium has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game so far, with both teams scoring in 1 of 1 games and under 2.5 goals in 1 of 1 games

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.