World Cup
Argentina - Algeria
06/17/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
9%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Argentina
Algeria
League
The Lab
- 1Argentina: first goal in 6 of 6 games (100%)
- 2Algeria with Ibrahim Maza: 2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Argentina with Nico Paz: 2.5 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 4Argentina: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
33%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40% for Argentina.
- Argentina is in outstanding form with five consecutive wins (WWWWW).
- According to Advanced Stats, both teams show a positive offensive trend, with currently higher goal averages than their season average.
Risk Factors
- The pipeline analysis predicts a high draw probability of 33%.
- Algeria shows a strong away defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per away game.
- Algeria's offense is potent with an average of 2.4 season goals per game.
Overview
Argentina host Algeria at Arrowhead Stadium for their opening World Cup group stage match. The game is scheduled for June 17, 2026, 3:00 AM. Both teams are kicking off their tournament, and current table positions are not performance-based.
Form
Argentina displays flawless form, securing five wins (WWWWW) in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 3-0 victory. Algeria is also in strong form with four wins and one draw (WWDWW) from their last five outings. The home team's streak stands at five consecutive wins. The visitors have not lost in their last two games.
Statistics
Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded. The team achieved 11 clean sheets, with 6 of those at home. Algeria has scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded 0.8 goals per game. Away from home, their scoring average is 2.5 goals and they concede 0.5 goals per match. Algeria kept 3 clean sheets, all of them away.
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Argentina and Algeria.
Key Players
For Argentina, Lionel Messi stands out with 5 goals and 4 assists in 4 appearances. Lautaro MartĂnez contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches. Rodrigo De Paul recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games. On Algeria's side, Anis Hadj Moussa scored 4 goals in 4 games. Amine Gouiri netted 3 goals in 4 matches. Ramy Bensebaini was involved in 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 appearances.
Goalkeepers
Emiliano MartĂnez is the goalkeeper for Argentina, whose team achieved 11 clean sheets this season. For Algeria, Luca Zidane is in goal, with his team recording 3 clean sheets.
Influences
The match will be played at Arrowhead Stadium on a grass surface. There is no data available regarding weather influences or specific stadium history.