World Cup
Belgium - Egypt
06/15/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Belgium
Egypt
League
The Lab
- 1Belgium with Axel Witsel: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Egypt with Emam Ashour: 1.6 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
33%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Belgium with a 40% probability and 1.18 expected goals
- Belgium's Offensive Power: Belgium averages 3.63 goals per game this season and 4.0 goals in recent matches
- Tactical Approach: Belgium's possession-dominant play (58% possession) meets Egypt's counter-oriented tactics (39% possession)
Risk Factors
- Injury Absence: Belgium's Z. Debast is out due to a Leg Injury
- Unknown Surface: Egypt has no data for matches played on artificial turf, which could be an unknown factor
- High Draw Probability: The mathematical model predicts a draw with a 33% probability, indicating a tight match
Overview
Belgium faces Egypt at Lumen Field in a World Cup match on June 15, 2026, 7:00 PM. Both teams are kicking off their tournament campaigns and aiming for a strong start in their group. Belgium and Egypt hold 1st and 2nd place in the table, respectively, with 0 points each before this fixture.
Form
Belgium is in good form with a W-W-D-W-W record in their last five games, amounting to 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last match was a 5-0 victory against Tunisia. Egypt's recent form is W-W-D-W-L, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings. They recently suffered a 1-2 defeat to Brazil. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Belgium has shown strong attacking capabilities this season, averaging 3.63 goals scored per game and conceding 0.88 goals. At home, they average 3.4 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded. They kept 4 clean sheets. Egypt boasts a very strong defense, conceding only 0.2 goals per game on average, while scoring 2.0 goals per match. Away from home, they concede an average of 0.25 goals and score 2.0 goals. They achieved 8 clean sheets. Lumen Field sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Belgium and Egypt in the provided dataset.
Key Players
For Belgium, Youri Tielemans is in good form with 2 goals and 1 assist in 375 minutes over 5 games, Jérémy Doku contributed 2 assists in 340 minutes over 5 games, and Kevin De Bruyne scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 262 minutes over 4 games. For Egypt, Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf stands out with 4 goals in 319 minutes over 5 games. Emam Ashour provided 2 assists in 324 minutes over 5 games. Goalkeeper Oufa Shobeir achieved an average rating of 7.20 in 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Belgium's goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has kept 3 clean sheets in home games. Egypt's goalkeeper Oufa Shobeir has kept 4 clean sheets in away games.
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf. Belgium's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with a 6:3 goal difference. No data is available for Egypt's performance on artificial turf. Lumen Field typically sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches.