World Cup

Ghana - Panama

06/17/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Ghana
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Panama
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
GHAPAN

Ghana

Attack weakness (0.38x league average)
-0.99
Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.61
Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.51
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.33
Declining form (0.6 vs 1.7 season average)
-0.33
Standings disadvantage (pos 75 vs 29, 46 places gap)
-0.22
Full strength squad available

Panama

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-1.18
Attack strength (1.2x league average)
+0.85
Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
+0.63
Standings advantage (pos 29 vs 75, 46 places gap)
+0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.05

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.73
+0.73
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Panama: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes

  • 2
    Panama: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)

  • 3
    Panama with Carlos Harvey: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (4 of 6 games)

  • 4
    Ghana: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 5
    Panama: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

32%

Away Win

30%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Panama's positive form with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
  • Ghana's negative form with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 games
  • Panama's recent goal production of 2.0 goals is above their season average of 1.5 goals
Risk Factors
  • Ghana: T. Partey is sidelined due to an unknown injury
  • Ghana averaged 2.2 shots on target with 38% possession in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts
Overview

Ghana faces Panama in a World Cup group stage match at BMO Field on June 17, 2026, 7:00 PM. Ghana is in 2nd place in the table with 0 points, while Panama is in 3rd place with 0 points. Both teams are playing their first match in this stage of the tournament.

Form

Ghana's recent form is negative with LLLLD in their last five games, consisting of four losses and one draw. Ghana's goal production in recent matches averages 0.6 goals per game, significantly below their season average of 1.6 goals. Panama shows positive form with DWLWD, including two wins, two draws, and one loss. Panama is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.0 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.5 goals.

Statistics

Ghana averages 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded in home games. Panama averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded in away games. BMO Field has a high goal-scoring rate, with an average of 3.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in all five of the last matches at this stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in three out of five games.

Head-to-Head

No data on previous head-to-head encounters between Ghana and Panama is available.

Key Players

For Ghana, Antoine Semenyo (3 goals in 4 games), Caleb Yirenkyi (1 goal in 2 games), and Gideon Mensah (1 assist in 3 games) are key players. For Panama, Carlos Harvey (1 goal in 2 games), Yoel BƔrcenas (1 goal in 3 games), and AndrƩs Andrade (1 assist in 3 games) are important figures.

Goalkeepers

Lawrence Ati Zigi is the goalkeeper for Ghana, who achieved a total of 6 clean sheets this season. For Panama, Orlando Mosquera is in goal, and the team also recorded 6 clean sheets this season.

Influences

The match takes place at BMO Field on a grass surface. The stadium is known for high-scoring encounters with an average of 3.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in all five of the last matches played at this venue. Ghana scored an average of 2.4 goals at home and conceded 0.6 goals. Panama scored an average of 1.8 goals away and conceded 0.6 goals.

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