La Liga
Girona - FC Barcelona
02/16/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
3.5
2.5
0:2
10%1:2
9%0:3
8%1:1
8%1:3
8%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
11%
Draw
18%
Away Win
71%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
29%
Away or Draw
89%
No Draw
82%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Offensive superiority: Barcelona's attack (2.74 goals on average) is far ahead of Girona's weak offense (0.96 goals), and Barça is in top form
- Tactical dominance: With an average of 72% possession and 8.2 shots on target per game, Barcelona is expected to control the match
- Defensive weaknesses on both sides: Girona's home vulnerability (1.8 goals conceded) meets Barcelona's away fragility (1.64 goals conceded), suggesting goals are likely
Risk Factors
- Only 68% of Girona's seasonal goal production is available in the squad, which could limit their chances to score
- Barcelona's defense is significantly less stable in away games, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per match
Overview
Girona (15th place, 26 points) hosts FC Barcelona (2nd place, 58 points) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
The La Liga match will take place on February 16, 2026, at 9:00 PM
This is a crucial match for Barcelona in the title race, while Girona is in the bottom half of the table
Form
Girona form: W-W-D-L-D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five matches, there were 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
FC Barcelona form: W-W-W-W-W
Barcelona is in outstanding form with a 5-game winning streak
Statistics
Barcelona's attack is significantly stronger, averaging 2.74 goals per game compared to Girona's 0.96
Defensively, Barcelona is also more solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game, while Girona concedes 1.61
Away from home, Barcelona scores an impressive 2.64 goals but is more vulnerable with 1.64 goals conceded
Girona concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game at home
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, FC Barcelona has the edge with 3 wins, while Girona won 2
There have been no draws in these matches
The goal difference is 14:11 in favor of Barcelona
Barcelona won the last meeting in October 2025 with a score of 2-1
Key Players
Vladyslav Vanat is Girona's top scorer with 7 season goals
Viktor Tsygankov has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists
Bryan Gil has provided 3 assists this season
Lamine Yamal is a key player for Barcelona with 10 goals and 8 assists
Robert Lewandowski has also scored 10 goals this season
Dani Olmo showcases his creativity with 6 goals and 6 assists
Goalkeepers
Girona's goalkeeper is Paulo Gazzaniga
The team has kept 4 clean sheets this season
In goal for Barcelona is Joan GarcĂa
His team has managed to keep a clean sheet in 9 matches this season
Influences
Girona concedes an average of 1.8 goals at home, making them defensively vulnerable
Barcelona is extremely dangerous away (2.64 goals per game) but also defensively susceptible (1.64 goals conceded)
Interestingly, recent games at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi have been rather low-scoring, with an average of just 1.8 goals per game