World Cup

Korea Republic - Czech Republic

06/12/2026, 02:00 AM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Korea Republic
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Czech Republic
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
KRCR

Korea Republic

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.66
Attack strength (1.28x league average)
+0.22
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.11
Standings advantage (pos 23 vs 39, 16 places gap)
+0.10

Czech Republic

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-2.20
Attack strength (2.07x league average)
+1.72
Standings disadvantage (pos 39 vs 23, 16 places gap)
-0.22
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.21

League

High-scoring league (3.7 goals/match)
+1.20
+1.20
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Korea Republic with Hyeon-gyu Oh: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Czech Republic: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Korea Republic: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

26%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

58%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • Slight favorite role for Korea Republic with a 42% win probability according to mathematical analysis
  • Korea Republic's strong season record with an average of 2.50 goals scored and only 0.50 goals conceded
  • Czech Republic's recently improved offense with an average of 2.6 goals per game in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Korea Republic's goal production is stagnant with an average of 1.4 goals in recent matches
  • Czech Republic concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away game
  • The match will be played on artificial turf, for which no specific team performance data is available
Overview

Korea Republic faces Czech Republic at Estadio AKRON in a World Cup match on June 12, 2026, 3:00 AM. Mathematical analysis suggests a balanced encounter, with Korea Republic being a slight favorite.

Form

Korea Republic's recent form (WLLWW) shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches across all competitions, including two consecutive wins. Czech Republic's form (LWDDW) includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games, with their last match being a win and the one before a draw. According to advanced statistics, Korea Republic's recent form trend is negative, while Czech Republic shows a stable trend.

Statistics

Korea Republic has scored an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceded 0.50 goals this season. At home, they average 2.67 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. They have kept 9 clean sheets. Czech Republic has scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.20 goals per game. Away from home, they average 2.00 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded. They have kept 5 clean sheets. The Estadio AKRON has seen an average of 2.4 total goals per game in its last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games.

Head-to-Head

There are no historical head-to-head matches between Korea Republic and Czech Republic in the available data.

Key Players

For Korea Republic, key players include Heung-min Son with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, Tae-seok Lee with 1 goal in 3 games, and Gi-hyuk Lee with an average rating of 7.00 in 2 games. For Czech Republic, Patrik Schick stands out with 5 goals in 4 games, Stepan Chaloupek with 3 goals in 4 games, and Lukas Provod with 3 assists in 4 games.

Goalkeepers

Seung-gyu Kim for Korea Republic appeared in 2 of the last 5 games. Matej Kovar for Czech Republic played in 3 of the last 5 games. Korea Republic recorded 9 clean sheets this season, while Czech Republic registered 5 clean sheets.

Influences

The match will be played at Estadio AKRON on an artificial turf surface. There is no specific performance data available for either team on artificial turf. Korea Republic has shown strong offensive and defensive performance at home this season, averaging 2.67 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. Czech Republic has averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded in away matches. The venue has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game.

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