World Cup
Canada - Bosnia and Herzegovina
06/12/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:0
13%1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%0:0
9%What influences the xG?
Canada
Bosnia and Herzegovina
League
The Lab
- 1Canada with Jonathan Osorio : 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Canada: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 3Bosnia and Herzegovina: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
27%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Canada with 51% probability
- Bosnia and Herzegovina's Form: The team recorded five consecutive draws recently and shows a negative trend in goal production
- Canada's Home Defense: The team concedes an average of only 0.6 goals per game at home
Risk Factors
- Limited data available for head-to-head matches, as no previous meetings were found
- Bosnia and Herzegovina has not failed to score in any game this season
- Canada recorded over 2.5 goals in only 1 out of 5 games this season
Overview
Canada hosts Bosnia and Herzegovina at BMO Field in Toronto
World Cup match on June 12, 2026, 3:00 PM
Both teams start with 0 points in the standings and will fight for their first tournament points
Form
Canada's recent form in the last five games is WDDWD (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
The last match ended in a draw
Bosnia and Herzegovina's form in the last five matches is DDDDD (0 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses)
The team drew five consecutive matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Canada scored an average of 1.2 goals per game this season and conceded 0.6 goals
The team kept 3 clean sheets and had 1 match with over 2.5 goals
Bosnia and Herzegovina averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded
The team had 3 clean sheets and 5 matches with over 2.5 goals
At home, Canada averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded
Bosnia and Herzegovina averages 1.83 goals scored away and 0.67 goals conceded
Advanced statistics show Canada consistently scores around 1.8 goals per game
Bosnia and Herzegovina's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.8
At BMO Field, an average of 3.8 goals per game are scored
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
No data is available for previous head-to-head matches between Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina
Key Players
For Canada, the following players stand out
Richie Laryea scored 1 goal in his last 4 games
Tani Oluwaseyi provided 2 assists in his last 3 games
Ismaël Koné achieved an average rating of 6.89 in his last 5 games
For Bosnia and Herzegovina, these players are important
Esmir Bajraktarevic scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in his last 4 games
Ermedin Demirovic scored 2 goals in his last 3 games
Nikola Katic achieved an average rating of 7.09 in his last 4 games
Goalkeepers
Canada's goalkeeper Maxime Crépeau achieved an average rating of 6.85 in his last 5 games
Canada recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Bosnia and Herzegovina's goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj had an average rating of 6.88 in his last 3 games
Bosnia and Herzegovina recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass
Canada shows a solid home defense, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per game
At BMO Field, the average is 3.8 goals per game
Both teams score in 80% of matches at BMO Field, and over 2.5 goals are scored in 60% of matches