World Cup
Jordan - Algeria
06/23/2026, 03:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Jordan
Algeria
League
The Lab
- 1Jordan with Mousa Tamari: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Algeria with Rayan Aït-Nouri: 2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Algeria: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)
- 4Jordan: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Jordan: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match with nearly equal win probabilities for both teams (35% for Jordan, 35% for Algeria)
- Algeria is in significantly better form with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games compared to Jordan, who remained winless during this period (0 wins, 2 draws)
- Jordan showed a counter-attacking play style in their last 5 games with an average of 31% possession and 3.4 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Jordan has suffered three consecutive losses in their last three matches, indicating poor current form
- Algeria averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- M. Amoura is absent for Algeria due to an Unknown Injury
Overview
Jordan (3rd place, 0 points) faces Algeria (4th place, 0 points) at Levi's Stadium
World Cup match on June 23, 2026, 3:00 AM
Both teams are currently at the bottom of the table and urgently need points in this crucial group stage game
Form
Jordan has not secured any wins in their last five matches (DDLLL)
Their form is 'DDLLL', consisting of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Their last match ended in a loss
Jordan has suffered three consecutive losses
Algeria shows a form of 'WDWWL' in their last five matches
This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last match ended in a loss
Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Jordan averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes 0.75 goals per game this season
At home, they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded
Algeria averages 2.4 goals scored per game and concedes 0.8 goals per game this season
In away games, Algeria averages 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded
Levi's Stadium sees an average of 2.3 goals per game
Both teams scored in 67% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 33% of matches
Head-to-Head
No previous head-to-head matches between Jordan and Algeria were found in the dataset
Key Players
Jordan: Ali Olwan (1 season goal, avg rating 7.39) and Noor Al-Rawabdeh (1 season assist, avg rating 7.12)
Algeria: Farès Chaïbi (avg rating 7.07) and Aïssa Mandi (avg rating 6.97)
Ramy Bensebaini showed good form in the last 5 games with 1 goal and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Jordan's goalkeeper is Yazeed Abulaila (avg season rating 5.85, avg rating 6.22 in last 5 games)
Jordan kept 6 clean sheets this season
Algeria's goalkeeper is Luca Zidane (avg season rating 6.33, avg rating 7.37 in last 5 games)
Algeria recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Jordan averages 2.0 home goals scored and 0.78 home goals conceded
Algeria averages 2.5 away goals scored and 0.5 away goals conceded
Levi's Stadium averages 2.3 goals per game
In this stadium, both teams scored in 67% of matches, and 33% of matches had over 2.5 goals