La Liga
FC Barcelona - Levante
02/22/2026, 03:15 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
2.9
0.8
2:0
13%1:1
10%2:1
10%3:0
9%3:1
7%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
67%
Draw
22%
Away Win
11%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
89%
Away or Draw
33%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Class difference in the standings: Second-placed Barcelona meets second-to-last Levante
- Extreme home advantage: Barcelona scores an average of 2.62 goals at home while conceding only 0.38
- Statistical prediction: The mathematical model clearly favors Barcelona with a 67% win probability
Risk Factors
- Negative trend for Barcelona: Despite being favorites, Barcelona has lost its last two games and their recent goal production (1.8) is below the season average (2.6)
- Potential fatigue for Levante: The away team has had only 4 days of rest since their last match
Overview
FC Barcelona (2nd place, 58 points) hosts Levante (19th place, 18 points) at Camp Nou
La Liga match on February 22, 2026, 4:15 PM
A clear duel between a title contender and a relegation candidate
Form
FC Barcelona form: WWWLL (3 wins, 2 losses)
Levante form: WDLLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Barcelona have lost their last two matches, while Levante is on a three-game losing streak
Both teams enter the match with a negative trend
Statistics
With 64 goals (avg 2.67 per game), Barcelona has one of the strongest attacks in the league
Barcelona is particularly dominant at home: 34 goals scored and only 5 conceded in 13 games
Levante has one of the most vulnerable defenses with 41 goals conceded (avg 1.71 per game)
In 20 of FC Barcelona's 24 season matches, there were over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Barcelona dominated with 4 wins and one draw
Levante failed to win any of these games
The goal difference is 13:7 in favor of Barcelona
The last encounter ended in a 3-2 victory for Barcelona
Key Players
Lamine Yamal (10 season goals, 8 assists)
Robert Lewandowski (10 season goals, 1 assist)
Dani Olmo (6 season goals, 6 assists)
IvĂĄn Romero (4 season goals, 1 assist)
Carlos Ălvarez (3 season goals, 1 assist)
AdriĂĄn Dela (2 season goals, 1 assist)
Goalkeepers
FC Barcelona's Joan GarcĂa has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Levante's Mathew Ryan has 4 clean sheets
Influences
The home advantage for FC Barcelona at Camp Nou is statistically overwhelming
They score an average of 2.62 goals at home and concede only 0.38
The last 5 games at Camp Nou had a goal average of 3.2, suggesting a high-scoring match