World Cup

England - Ghana

06/23/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
England
1.7
Total xG
2.4
Ghana
0.7
Most Likely Scores

1:0

15%

2:0

14%

1:1

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
ENGGHA

England

Defensive strength (0.7 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.67
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 75, 71 places gap)
+0.11
Attack strength (1.33x league average)
+0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.02
Full strength squad available

Ghana

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.29
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 75 vs 4, 71 places gap)
-0.13
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    England: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)

  • 2
    England with Djed Spence: 2.4 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Ghana: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

26%

Away Win

13%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

87%

Away or Draw

39%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

41%

No

59%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for England with a 61% probability
  • According to tactical metrics, England is possession-dominant (66% possession) and offensively strong with an average of 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Ghana's current goal production is stagnating, while their season average is 1.6 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Only 18% of the seasonal goal production is available for England
  • Ghana averaged 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts
Overview

England (1st place, 3 points) host Ghana (2nd place, 3 points) at Gillette Stadium. This is a crucial World Cup match on June 23, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are at the top of their group, fighting for advancement to the next round.

Form

England shows good form with DLWWW in their last five matches across all competitions, which means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. England has won three consecutive matches recently.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Ghana, on the other hand, has a form of LLLDW in their last five games, recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Ghana's last match was a win.

Statistics

England averaged 2.75 goals scored per game and 0.00 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they scored 3.00 goals per game and conceded 0.00 goals. England kept 8 clean sheets.

Ghana averaged 2.30 goals scored per game and 0.60 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they scored 2.20 goals and conceded 0.60 goals. Ghana managed to keep 6 clean sheets.

The Gillette Stadium averages 2.6 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches.

Head-to-Head

There are no head-to-head matches between these two teams in the provided dataset.

Key Players

For England, Harry Kane (2 season goals, 6 goals in last 5 games), Jude Bellingham (1 season goal, 2 goals in last 5 games), and Elliot Anderson (0 season goals, 3 assists in last 5 games) are key players.

For Ghana, Caleb Yirenkyi (1 season goal, 2 goals in last 5 games), Antoine Semenyo (0 season goals, 2 goals in last 5 games), and Iñaki Williams (0 season goals, 1 goal and 1 assist in last 5 games) are important figures.

Goalkeepers

England's goalkeeper is Jordan Pickford, who has an average rating of 6.77 this season. His team has achieved 8 clean sheets.

Ghana's goalkeeper is Benjamin Asare, with a season average rating of 7.5. His team has completed 6 matches with a clean sheet.

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf. England has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses (4:2 goals) on this surface. Ghana has a record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses (8:0 goals) on artificial turf. The Gillette Stadium has seen an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches.

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