World Cup
Brazil - Haiti
06/20/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
3.2
3.8
0.6
3:0
13%4:0
10%3:1
7%5:0
7%2:1
7%What influences the xG?
Brazil
Haiti
League
The Lab
- 1Brazil: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
87%
Draw
10%
Away Win
3%
Goals
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
73%
Under 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
52%
Under 3.5
48%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
97%
Away or Draw
13%
No Draw
90%
Both Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 87% probability and 3.24 expected goals for Brazil
- Brazil's offensive output is critically weakened by missing key players, with only 4% of seasonal goal production available
- Brazil shows better form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) compared to Haiti's current weak phase (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Risk Factors
- Haiti showed limited offensive threat in their last 5 games, averaging 3.0 shots on target
- The limited data on head-to-head matches results in an incomplete historical comparison
- Haiti is currently in a phase of two consecutive losses
Overview
Brazil (3rd place, 1 point) faces Haiti (4th place, 0 points) at Lincoln Financial Field in a World Cup match on June 20, 2026, 1:30 AM
Brazil aims for an improved league position after drawing their first match
Haiti needs to secure their first points after an opening loss
Form
Brazil's current form (LWWWD) shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 games
Brazil's last result was a draw
Haiti's form (LDWLL) includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
Haiti has suffered 2 consecutive losses recently
Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per season
In home games, Brazil averages 1.29 goals scored and 0.36 goals conceded
Haiti has a season average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded
In away games, Haiti averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded
Brazil kept 6 clean sheets this season, while Haiti managed 5
Analysis of goal production shows Brazil is currently scoring more frequently (2.6 goals) than their season average (1.7 goals)
Haiti's goal production is currently slowing down (1.2 goals), with a season average of 1.9 goals
Matches at Lincoln Financial Field so far have seen an average of 1.0 total goals per game, with no instances of both teams scoring or over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
No direct head-to-head matches between Brazil and Haiti are available in the provided dataset
Key Players
For Brazil, Vinicius Junior is a key player with 1 season goal and 3 goals plus 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing a rising form trend
Raphinha also shows a rising form trend and contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Casemiro contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with a rising form trend
For Haiti, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde is a key player with a season average rating of 7.2
Martin Expérience has a season average rating of 7.11
Hannes Delcroix shows a season average rating of 7.07
Goalkeepers
Brazil's goalkeeper, Alisson, has a season average rating of 6.69
Brazil recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Haiti's goalkeeper, Johny Placide, has a season average rating of 6.43 and a rising form trend
Haiti recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
Brazil has scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded only 0.36 goals in home games, suggesting a home advantage
Lincoln Financial Field has seen an average of 1.0 goals per game, with neither team scoring in all matches nor exceeding 2.5 goals