World Cup
Czech Republic - South Africa
06/18/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
11%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Czech Republic
South Africa
League
The Lab
- 1Czech Republic with Robin Hranac: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Czech Republic: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
29%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Czech Republic with a 51% probability and 1.53 expected goals
- Czech Republic is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.3), while South Africa's goal production is faltering (0.8) compared to their season average of 1.5
- The Czech Republic team has shown strong attacking capabilities in their last 5 games with an average of 5.4 shots on target
Risk Factors
- For Czech Republic, only 5% of the total squad's goal production is covered by the current starting lineup based on available data
- For South Africa, only 0% of the total squad's goal production is covered by the current starting lineup based on available data
- South Africa must cope without S. Sithole and T. Zwane due to Red Card Suspensions
Overview
Czech Republic host South Africa at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a World Cup match on June 18, 2026, 4:00 PM
Czech Republic currently stands in 3rd place with 0 points, while South Africa is in 4th place with 0 points
Both teams are looking for their first points in the tournament
Form
Czech Republic's current form across all competitions is WDDWL
This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Their last match resulted in a loss
South Africa's form is DLDDL, with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
South Africa also lost their last game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Czech Republic scored an average of 2.2 goals per game this season and conceded 1.2 goals
At home, they average 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded
South Africa averaged 1.7 goals per game and conceded 0.6 goals
Away from home, they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
In 5 matches at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, an average of 2.4 total goals per game were scored
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
There is no data available for previous head-to-head encounters between these two teams
Key Players
For Czech Republic, Patrik Schick shows strong form with 3 goals in his last 4 games and a rising form trend
Vladimír Coufal provided 1 assist in his last 4 games and his form is rising
Vladimír Darida scored 1 goal in 3 games and has a high average rating of 7.39
For South Africa, Oswin Appollis was in top form with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 3 games, and his form trend is sharply rising
Jayden Adams scored 1 goal in his last 4 games with a rising form
Thalente Mbatha also scored 1 goal in his last 4 games and his form is rising
Goalkeepers
Czech Republic's goalkeeper Matej Kovar has a season average rating of 6.72 and showed rising form in his last 3 games with a rating of 7.06
South Africa's Ronwen Williams has a season average rating of 6.72, and his form is stable with a rating of 6.62 in his last 4 games
Both teams have kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf
Czech Republic has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (1:2 goals) on artificial turf
South Africa has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss (3:3 goals) on artificial turf
The venue, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, averages 2.4 goals per game