World Cup
Germany - Côte d'Ivoire
06/20/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.6
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
7%1:2
6%3:0
5%What influences the xG?
Germany
Côte d'Ivoire
League
The Lab
- 1Germany: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Côte d'Ivoire with Franck Kessié: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Germany: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)
- 4Côte d'Ivoire: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)
- 5Germany: 4 wins in 4 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 53% for Germany
- Côte d'Ivoire boasts an exceptional defensive record, with 10 clean sheets this season
- Both teams are in excellent form, with 5 consecutive wins each
Risk Factors
- The mathematical prediction for 'Both teams to score' is 68%, which contradicts Côte d'Ivoire's flawless defensive record of 10 clean sheets
- Several key Germany players, including Kai Havertz, Nico Schlotterbeck, Felix Nmecha, Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz, Nathaniel Brown, show a declining form trend
Overview
Germany host Côte d'Ivoire at BMO Field
World Cup match on June 20, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams have collected 3 Points after the first match
Germany is in 1st place and Côte d'Ivoire in 2nd place
The match is crucial for the group stage
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Germany's Form (all competitions): WWWWW
Overall 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
The last 5 results for Germany: Germany won 7-1 against Curacao, 2-1 against United States, 4-0 against Finland, 2-1 against Ghana, and 4-3 against Switzerland
Côte d'Ivoire's Form (all competitions): WWWWW
Overall 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
The last 5 results for Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire won 1-0 against Ecuador, 2-1 against France, 1-0 against Scotland, 4-0 against Korea Republic, and 2-0 against Oman
Both teams show outstanding form with 5 consecutive wins each
Statistics
Germany scores Avg. 2.67 goals per game and concedes Avg. 0.50 goals conceded
At home, the average is 2.60 goals scored and 0.20 goals conceded
Côte d'Ivoire impresses with Avg. 2.50 goals per game and has conceded 0.00 goals conceded throughout the season
Away from home, they score Avg. 2.50 goals and have conceded 0.00 goals conceded
Germany currently scores more frequently (3.80) than their season average (2.65)
Côte d'Ivoire currently scores more frequently (2.25) than their season average (2.14)
The BMO Field records Avg. 2.80 goals per game
The probability that Both teams scored is 80%
Key Players
Key players for Germany:
Kai Havertz (Attacker): 2 goals, 0 assists, 8.18 Avg. rating with a declining form trend
Nico Schlotterbeck (Defender): 1 goal, 0 assists, 8.39 Avg. rating with a declining form trend
Joshua Kimmich (Midfielder): 0 goals, 2 assists, 8.16 Avg. rating with stable form
Key players for Côte d'Ivoire:
Amad Diallo (Attacker): 1 goal, 0 assists, 7.98 Avg. rating with a declining form trend
Yan Diomande (Attacker): 0 goals, 0 assists, 8.21 Avg. rating with a declining form trend
Wilfried Singo (Defender): 0 goals, 1 assist, 7.75 Avg. rating with a declining form trend
Goalkeepers
Germany's Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer has recorded 4 clean sheets this season with a rising form trend
Côte d'Ivoire's Goalkeeper Yahia Fofana impresses with 10 clean sheets this season with stable form
Influences
Germany has a home advantage with 2.60 goals scored and only 0.20 goals conceded per home game
Côte d'Ivoire shows strong away performance with 2.50 goals scored and 0.00 goals conceded per away game
The BMO Field has an average of 2.80 goals per match
The probability of Both teams scored is 80% at this venue
The match will be played on a grass surface