World Cup
Egypt - Iran
06/27/2026, 03:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:1
7%What influences the xG?
Egypt
Iran
The Lab
- 1Iran with Mohammad Mohebi: 2.4 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 2Iran: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3Egypt: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 4Iran: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Egypt with Hamdy Fathy: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Limited Goal Threat: Egypt only has 20% of its goal production available
- Offensive Form: Iran is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals) than their season average (2.4 goals)
- Balanced Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a very close match with a home win probability of 35% and an away win probability of 31%
Risk Factors
- Egypt averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches, indicating less directness
- Iran averaged 2.3 shots on target in their last 5 matches, suggesting few attempts on goal
Overview
Egypt (1st place, 4 points) meets Iran (2nd place, 2 points) at Lumen Field in a World Cup match on June 27, 2026, 5:00 AM
Egypt leads the table with 4 points, while Iran follows in 2nd place with 2 points
Form
Egypt's form across all competitions is "DWLDW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
Their last result was a win
Iran's form is "LWWDD" with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
Their last two results were draws
Statistics
Egypt scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded 0.2 goals
They kept 8 clean sheets
Iran scored an average of 2.19 goals per game and conceded 0.75 goals, with 9 clean sheets
On artificial turf, Egypt has a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 4:2 goals
Iran recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses with 2:2 goals on this surface
The Lumen Field averages 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and 2 of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head data for the teams is available in the dataset
Key Players
For Egypt, Mohamed Salah is a key player with 1 goal and 2 assists in 2 season appearances and an average rating of 7.66, contributing 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 matches
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 appearances (avg 7.39 rating) and recently recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches
Emam Ashour scored 1 goal in 2 season appearances (avg 7.22 rating) and recently showed 1 goal in 5 matches
For Iran, Ramin Rezaeian is notable with 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 season appearances and an avg 7.55 rating, with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 3 matches
Mohammad Mohebi contributed 1 goal in 2 season appearances (avg 6.87 rating) and recently scored 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 matches
Mehdi Taremi has an avg 6.75 rating in 2 season appearances and recently tallied 3 goals and 1 assist in 4 matches
Goalkeepers
Oufa Shobeir, Egypt's goalkeeper, has a season average rating of 7.45
His team has achieved 8 clean sheets this season
Alireza Beiranvand, Iran's goalkeeper, has a season average rating of 8.23
His team has achieved 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
The artificial turf at Lumen Field has been advantageous for Egypt in 2 matches, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses (4:2 goals)
Iran has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses (2:2 goals) in 2 matches on artificial turf
The Lumen Field averages 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches