La Liga
Atlético de Madrid - Espanyol
02/21/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
27%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Atlético's home strength: The team is a defensive fortress at home, conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average
- Stark form disparity: While Atlético's form is mixed but solid, Espanyol is in a deep crisis with four losses in their last five games
- Offensive superiority: Atlético creates significantly more danger with an average of 5.4 shots on target per game compared to Espanyol's 3.2
Risk Factors
- Historical record: Atlético has not won any of the last five encounters against Espanyol (4 draws, 1 loss)
- Short recovery time for Atlético: The team has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Personnel concerns for Atlético: The absence of three players, including midfielder Pablo Barrios Rivas, could weaken the team
Overview
Atlético Madrid (4th place, 45 points) hosts Espanyol (6th place, 35 points) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano
La Liga match on February 21, 2026, 9:00 PM
An important clash in the race for European spots, with Atlético looking to solidify their top-4 position
Form
Atlético Madrid form: WLWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their form is inconsistent, but significantly better than the visitors'
Espanyol form: LLLLD
Espanyol has failed to win any of their last five matches, securing only one point from a draw alongside four losses
The team is in a clear form crisis
Statistics
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.58 goals per game and concedes only 0.88
Espanyol averages 1.21 goals per game and concedes 1.38
At home, Atlético is a defensive powerhouse, conceding only 0.5 goals per game
Both teams scored in 11 of Atlético's 24 games and 13 of Espanyol's 24 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been no wins for Atlético Madrid, 1 win for Espanyol, and 4 draws
The goal difference is very balanced at 6:7 in favor of Espanyol
The last encounter was won by Espanyol 2-1
Historically, Espanyol is a tough opponent for Atlético
Key Players
Antoine Griezmann has already scored 6 goals for Atlético Madrid this season and is showing a rising form trend
Marc Pubill is a key defender with a season average rating of 7.17
Matteo Ruggeri is also showing rising form and contributes to the defensive stability
For Espanyol, Urko González de Zárate is a central player in midfield who scored one goal in the last 5 games
Fernando Calero is a regular in defense with 19 appearances this season
Jofre Carreras provides impetus on the wing, although he is yet to score this season
Goalkeepers
Atlético Madrid's goalkeepers have kept 10 clean sheets this season
Espanyol's goalkeepers have managed this in 7 matches
Influences
Atlético Madrid is extremely strong at home, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals at Riyadh Air Metropolitano
The last five matches at this stadium have seen an average of 2.4 goals
Both teams scored in only one of Atlético's last five home games