World Cup
Morocco - Haiti
06/24/2026, 10:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.6
3.2
0.6
2:0
14%3:0
12%2:1
8%4:0
8%1:1
7%What influences the xG?
Morocco
Haiti
League
The Lab
- 1Morocco: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)
- 2Morocco with Achraf Hakimi: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Morocco: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
79%
Draw
15%
Away Win
6%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
94%
Away or Draw
21%
No Draw
85%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Morocco with a 79% probability
- Form and Standings: Morocco is unbeaten in 5 games and in 2nd place, while Haiti has 3 consecutive losses and is last
- Offensive and Defensive Strength: Morocco is highly dominant with an average of 2.75 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded per season, Haiti is less effective with 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded
Risk Factors
- Haiti averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited offensive penetration
- Haiti is experiencing a negative form trend with three consecutive losses in recent matches
- The limited data regarding previous head-to-head matches could influence the prediction
Overview
Morocco (2nd place, 4 points) faces Haiti (4th place, 0 points) at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium
A crucial World Cup group stage match on June 24, 2026, 11:00 PM
Morocco aims to solidify its strong position in the standings
Form
Morocco is in excellent form, unbeaten in their last 5 games
The team recorded 3 wins and 2 draws recently, including a 1-0 away win against Scotland
Their form trend is WWDDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Haiti, in contrast, has only achieved 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, suffering 3 losses
Their last three games ended in defeat, indicating a negative form trend
The form trend is DWLLL
Statistics
Morocco displays an impressive seasonal offense with an average of 2.75 goals per game
The defense is very stable with only 0.25 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets
In home games, Morocco averages 2.5 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded
Haiti averages 2.0 goals scored per game but concedes 1.3 goals
In away matches, Haiti concedes an average of 1.0 goal
The Mercedes-Benz Stadium records an average of 2.6 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There are no previous head-to-head matches between Morocco and Haiti in the provided dataset
Key Players
For Morocco, midfielder Ismael Saibari is a key player with 2 season goals and 4 goals in the last 5 games
Attacker Brahim Díaz contributed 2 assists this season and 2 goals with 2 assists in the last 5 matches
Defender Achraf Hakimi showed one assist in his last 5 games and an average rating of 7.06
For Haiti, Lenny Joseph in attack is an important player with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Striker Wilson Isidor scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
Defender Hannes Delcroix showed an average rating of 6.99 in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Morocco's goalkeeper Yassine Bounou helped his team to 6 clean sheets this season
Haiti's goalkeeper Johny Placide helped his team to 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match takes place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on artificial turf
Morocco has a positive record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses (4:1 goals)
Haiti also has a positive record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (8:1 goals)
The stadium averages 2.6 goals per game and has a high BTTS rate of 60%