World Cup

Cape Verde Islands - Saudi Arabia

06/27/2026, 12:00 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Cape Verde Islands
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Saudi Arabia
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
CVISA

Cape Verde Islands

Standings disadvantage (pos 70 vs 59, 11 places gap)
-0.15
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.13
Full strength squad available

Saudi Arabia

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
-0.20
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.09
Standings advantage (pos 59 vs 70, 11 places gap)
+0.06

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.50
+0.50
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Cape Verde Islands: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)

  • 2
    Saudi Arabia with Firas Al-Buraikan: 0.3 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Saudi Arabia: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Saudi Arabia: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

31%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Cape Verde Islands has only 13% of its seasonal goal production available
  • The artificial turf pitch could be decisive, Cape Verde Islands is unbeaten and without conceding a goal on this surface, while Saudi Arabia suffered a 0:4 loss there
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an extremely balanced match with a home win, a draw, or an away win each having approximately 35% probability
Risk Factors
  • Saudi Arabia averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • NRG Stadium shows a high goal average of 5.3 goals per game, which contrasts with the strong defensive statistics of both teams
Overview

Cape Verde Islands (3rd place, 2 points) face Saudi Arabia (4th place, 1 point) at NRG Stadium

It's a crucial World Cup group stage match on June 27, 2026, 2:00 AM

Both teams are fighting to stay in the tournament

Form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Cape Verde Islands show good form with DWDD, being unbeaten in their last 5 matches

They recorded 2 wins and 3 draws during this period

Saudi Arabia's form is weaker with LWDDL

They managed only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Statistics

Cape Verde Islands average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game

At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 1.5 goals scored and no goals conceded

Saudi Arabia averages 1.22 goals scored and 0.72 goals conceded per season

Away from home, Saudi Arabia concedes only 0.55 goals on average

NRG Stadium shows a high goal average of 5.3 goals per game

3 out of 4 matches at NRG Stadium ended with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

No previous head-to-head meetings between Cape Verde Islands and Saudi Arabia are listed in the provided dataset

Key Players

For Cape Verde Islands, Kevin Lenini is an important player with 1 season goal

Jamiro Monteiro and Dailon Livramento each contributed 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Saudi Arabia, Abdulelah Al-Amri stands out with 1 season goal

Sultan Mandash scored 2 goals in the last 5 games and Salem Al-Dawsari scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Vozinha from Cape Verde Islands has an average rating of 7.43 this season

His team recorded 7 clean sheets, with 5 of them in home games

Mohammed Al-Owais from Saudi Arabia has an average rating of 7.15

His team kept 10 clean sheets, with 5 of them in away games

Influences

Cape Verde Islands have a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses with 1:0 goals on artificial turf

Saudi Arabia has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 0:4 goals on artificial turf

NRG Stadium is known for many goals, averaging 5.3 goals per game

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