World Cup

Jordan - Argentina

06/28/2026, 02:00 AM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Jordan
1.6
Total xG
3.3
Argentina
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
JORARG

Jordan

Standings disadvantage (pos 62 vs 3, 59 places gap)
-0.31
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.15
Full strength squad available

Argentina

Defensive strength (0.7 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.49
5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (3 goals/match)
+0.39
Attack strength (1.22x league average)
+0.26
5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 3 vs 62, 59 places gap)
+0.11
Lionel Messi  on the bench (5 goals, 0 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

League

High-scoring league (4.4 goals/match)
+1.88
+1.88
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Argentina: first goal in 8 of 8 games (100%)

  • 2
    Argentina with Nicolás Otamendi: 3.2 goals/game. Without: 1.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Jordan: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Jordan: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Argentina: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

26%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • The absence of Lionel Messi, who contributed 5 goals and 0 assists, significantly impacts Argentina's offensive strength, with only 0% of the usual starting XI strength available
  • Argentina enters this match with a perfect streak of 5 consecutive wins, while Jordan has suffered 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • Argentina displays a ball-possession dominant style averaging 6.2 shots on target per game, clashing with Jordan's counter-oriented approach averaging 3.6 shots on target
Risk Factors
  • The mathematical model predicts an equal winning probability for both teams (37% for Jordan, 37% for Argentina) and an identical goal expectancy of 1.63 goals per team, indicating an unexpectedly uncertain outcome
  • Jordan's goal production is stagnant (recently 1.3 goals per game), while their season average is 1.6 goals
Overview

Jordan faces Argentina at AT&T Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on June 28, 2026, 3:00 AM.

Jordan is currently in 4th place in their group with 0 points from 2 matches

Argentina leads their group, sitting in 1st place with 6 points from 2 matches

Argentina is expected to dominate the group stage, while Jordan is fighting to stay in the competition

Form

Jordan shows poor form in their last 5 games (all competitions) with DLLLL

This translates to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

The team has suffered 4 consecutive losses recently

Argentina, however, boasts a perfect form of WWWWW in their last 5 games (all competitions)

This means 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses

Argentina is on an impressive winning streak of 5 consecutive games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Jordan scores an average of 2.00 goals per game and concedes 0.75 goals per game this season

Argentina has a strong record of averaging 1.72 goals per game and concedes only 0.56 goals on average

Jordan saw both teams score (BTTS) in 7 games and had over 2.5 goals in 8 games

Argentina had both teams score (BTTS) in 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 7 games

AT&T Stadium records an average of 3.5 goals per game over 4 matches

In 3 out of 4 matches at AT&T Stadium, both teams scored, and 2 out of 4 matches had over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

No head-to-head matches between Jordan and Argentina are available in the provided dataset

Key Players

For Jordan, Ali Al-Azaizeh (2 goals in last 5 games, rising form), Ali Olwan (1 goal in last 5 games, Avg 6.98 season rating), and Noor Al-Rawabdeh (3 assists in last 5 games, Avg 6.99 season rating) are key players

For Argentina, Julián Alvarez (1 goal in last 4 games, rising form), Lautaro Martínez (1 goal and 1 assist in last 5 games), and Giuliano Simeone (1 goal in last 3 games) stand out

Goalkeepers

Jordan's goalkeeper, Yazeed Abulaila, recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Emiliano Martínez, Argentina's goalkeeper, maintains an impressive record of 11 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf

No data is available for Jordan's performance on artificial turf

Argentina has won 1 match on artificial turf, scoring 2 goals and conceding 0

AT&T Stadium has seen an average of 3.5 goals per game across 4 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 4 games

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