La Liga
Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo
02/21/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Huge offensive discrepancy: Real Sociedad averages 1.42 goals per game, while Real Oviedo has the league's weakest attack with just 0.57 goals and failed to score in 14 of 23 matches
- Clear advantage in form and standings: As 8th in the table with 3 wins from their last 5 games, Real Sociedad is in much better form than bottom-placed Real Oviedo (3 losses)
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Real Sociedad is solid at Anoeta Stadium (1.13 goals conceded/game), whereas Oviedo is very vulnerable on the road with 1.64 goals conceded per game
Risk Factors
- Real Sociedad's vulnerable defense: Despite being favorites, the team has kept only one clean sheet in 24 league games
- Key midfielder missing for Oviedo: With Santiago Colombatto, the visitors are missing a key player due to a yellow card suspension
Overview
Real Sociedad (8th place, 31 points) host Real Oviedo (20th place, 16 points) at Anoeta Stadium
La Liga match on February 21, 2026, 2:00 PM
The home team is aiming for the European spots, while the bottom-placed team urgently needs points in the relegation battle
The mathematical analysis favors the home team with a 49% probability of winning
Form
Form guide (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Real Sociedad: DWWWL
Real Oviedo: DLLWL
Real Sociedad have won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing strong form
Real Oviedo, on the other hand, have suffered 3 defeats in their last 5 games and are in a form crisis
Statistics
Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.42 goals per game, while Real Oviedo has the weakest attack in the league with just 0.57 goals
The visitors failed to score in 14 of their 23 league matches
Defensively, Real Sociedad concedes 1.46 goals per game, and Oviedo 1.57
At home, Real Sociedad is more stable, conceding only 1.13 goals per game, while Oviedo concedes an average of 1.64 goals away
Head-to-Head
The record of the last 3 head-to-head matches is balanced with one win for each team and one draw
The goal difference is 2-1 in favor of Real Sociedad
The last encounter took place in August 2025 and was won 1-0 by Real Oviedo
Key Players
Mikel Oyarzabal is Real Sociedad's top scorer with 10 season goals and 3 assists
Gonçalo Guedes is in rising form with 6 goals and 3 assists
Brais MĂ©ndez has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists
For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas and Ilyas Chaira are the most dangerous players with 3 goals each
Goalkeepers
Real Sociedad's Ălex Remiro has only managed one clean sheet this season
In comparison, Real Oviedo's AarĂłn Escandell has already achieved 6 clean sheets
Influences
Real Sociedad benefits from a clear home advantage and is defensively more stable (1.13 goals conceded per game)
At Anoeta Stadium, an average of 3.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in all 5 of these games, and 4 of them ended with over 2.5 goals