World Cup
South Africa - Korea Republic
06/25/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
South Africa
Korea Republic
League
The Lab
- 1South Africa with Ime Okon: 0.6 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 2Korea Republic with Hyeon-gyu Oh: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3Korea Republic: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 4South Africa: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
30%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with both teams having a 35% win probability
- Korea Republic's offense shows more penetration with an average of 5.4 shots on target in the last 5 games, compared to South Africa's 3.2 shots on target
- The venue, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, has a high goal average, with 4.0 goals per game and 100% Over 2.5 in the last 5 matches
Risk Factors
- South Africa will be without T. Zwane (Red Card Suspension) and T. Mokoena (Yellow Card Suspension)
- South Africa averaged only 3.2 shots on target in its last 5 games
- Both teams show a negative trend in their goal production according to Advanced Stats
Overview
South Africa (4th place, 1 point) faces Korea Republic (2nd place, 3 points) at Estadio BBVA Bancomer. This World Cup match is scheduled for June 25, 2026, 2:00 AM. Both teams are competing in the group stage for advancement
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
South Africa's recent form is LDDLD
The team recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in its last 5 matches
The last match ended in a draw
Korea Republic's recent form is LWWWL
Korea Republic achieved 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in its last 5 matches
The last match ended in a loss
Statistics
South Africa averages 1.7 goals scored per game and concedes 0.6 goals per game this season
In home games, South Africa scores an average of 1.83 goals and concedes 0.5 goals
Korea Republic averages 2.5 goals scored per game and concedes 0.5 goals per game this season
In away games, Korea Republic scores an average of 2.4 goals and concedes 0.3 goals
Estadio BBVA Bancomer recorded an average of 4.0 total goals in its last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of the matches
Head-to-Head
No previous head-to-head meetings found between South Africa and Korea Republic
Key Players
For South Africa, Oswin Appollis is notable with 1 goal in the last 3 games and a rising form trend
Khuliso Mudau recorded 1 assist in the last 4 games with stable form
Ronwen Williams shows stable form as a goalkeeper
For Korea Republic, In-beom Hwang is crucial with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, despite a declining form trend
Kang-in Lee contributed 1 assist in the last 3 games, also with a declining form trend
Hyeon-gyu Oh scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, with his form also declining
Goalkeepers
South Africa's goalkeeper Ronwen Williams has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Korea Republic's goalkeeper Seung-gyu Kim has recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
Estadio BBVA Bancomer shows a high average of 4.0 goals per game
80% of matches here saw both teams scoring
100% of matches had over 2.5 goals
South Africa scores an average of 1.83 goals at home and concedes 0.5 goals
Korea Republic scores an average of 2.4 goals away and concedes 0.3 goals