World Cup

Curacao - Côte d'Ivoire

06/25/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Curacao
1.7
Total xG
3.4
Côte d'Ivoire
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
CURCD

Curacao

Attack weakness (0.79x league average)
-1.35
Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 2.9 league avg)
-1.19
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.15

Côte d'Ivoire

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.27
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.06

League

High-scoring league (4.1 goals/match)
+1.64
+1.64
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Côte d'Ivoire: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 2
    Curacao with Tahith Chong: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (4 of 7 games)

  • 3
    Côte d'Ivoire with Franck Kessié: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Curacao: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

25%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

69%

No

31%

Key Factors
  • Côte d'Ivoire's strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 games contrasts with Curacao's run of 4 losses and 1 draw
  • Côte d'Ivoire has been defensively very stable this season with an average of 0.0 goals conceded and 10 clean sheets overall
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very balanced match with a 38% win probability for Curacao and a 38% win probability for Côte d'Ivoire
Risk Factors
  • Curacao averaged 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Although the pipeline predicts a 69% probability for 'Both Teams To Score', there have been no matches where both teams scored in the last 3 games at Lincoln Financial Field
  • Curacao's defense has shown increased vulnerability in recent matches, conceding an average of 1.73 goals, significantly more than their season average of 0.5 goals
Overview

Curacao (4th place, 1 point, -6 goal difference) faces Côte d'Ivoire (2nd place, 3 points, 0 goal difference) at Lincoln Financial Field

This World Cup match takes place on June 25, 2026, 9:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a very balanced match with a 38% win probability for both teams

Form

Curacao shows poor form with LLLLD in their last five matches, including a 0-0 draw against Ecuador and a significant 1-7 loss to Germany

Overall, Curacao has 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Côte d'Ivoire demonstrates strong form with WWWWL, including four wins and a narrow 1-2 loss to Germany

The team has achieved 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Curacao scored an average of 2.8 goals per game this season and conceded 0.5 goals

At home, Curacao scored an average of 2.8 goals and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match

Côte d'Ivoire shines this season with an average of 2.5 goals per game and conceded 0.0 goals

Away, Côte d'Ivoire also scored an average of 2.5 goals and conceded an average of 0.0 goals per game

The team has kept 10 clean sheets

Lincoln Financial Field averages 2.33 goals per game, and there have been no matches where both teams scored

2 out of 3 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Curacao and Côte d'Ivoire in the provided dataset

Key Players

For Curacao, Livano Comenencia (1 season goal, 1 goal in last 5 games, avg 6.62 rating recently), Tahith Chong (1 goal in last 5 games, avg 6.90 rating recently) and Juninho Bacuna (2 assists in last 5 games, avg 6.94 rating recently) are key players

For Côte d'Ivoire, Amad Diallo (1 season goal, 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games, avg 7.15 rating recently), Franck Kessié (1 season goal, 1 goal in last 5 games, avg 6.66 rating recently) and Nicolas Pépé (3 assists in last 5 games, avg 7.04 rating recently) are notable

Goalkeepers

Eloy Room of Curacao has an average rating of 7.39 this season and has kept 6 clean sheets

Yahia Fofana of Côte d'Ivoire has an average rating of 6.96 and achieved 10 clean sheets this season

Influences

Curacao's home games show a strong offense with an average of 2.8 goals scored and a solid defense with 0.8 goals conceded

Côte d'Ivoire's away performance is also impressive, with an average of 2.5 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded

Lincoln Financial Field has averaged 2.3 goals per game, with no instances of both teams scoring

2 out of 3 games at this venue had over 2.5 goals

Several Côte d'Ivoire players have previous experience at this stadium

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.