World Cup
Congo DR - Uzbekistan
06/27/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.4
0.8
1:0
13%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Congo DR
Uzbekistan
League
The Lab
- 1Uzbekistan with Odildzhon Khamrobekov: 0.4 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 2Uzbekistan: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
27%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- Critical squad impact for Uzbekistan: Only 4% of goal production is available
- Poor form for Uzbekistan: The team lost 4 of their last 5 games, including 4 consecutive losses
- Home win probability for Congo DR: The mathematical analysis sees a home win with 57%
Risk Factors
- Congo DR had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Congo DR averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games (average)
- Uzbekistan averaged 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games (low shots)
Overview
Congo DR host Uzbekistan at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a World Cup match on June 27, 2026, 11:30 PM
Congo DR is in 3rd place in their group with 1 point
Uzbekistan is in 4th place with 0 points
Both teams are fighting to stay in the tournament
Form
Congo DR's form in their last five games is DWDDL
This consists of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Their last result was a loss
Uzbekistan is in a more difficult phase with a form of DLLLL in their last five games
This means 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Uzbekistan has a streak of 4 consecutive losses
Statistics
Congo DR scored an average of 1.42 goals per game and conceded 0.58 goals this season
They kept 7 clean sheets
Uzbekistan is stronger offensively with an average of 1.69 goals per game, but also conceded 0.69 goals
Uzbekistan has 10 clean sheets
In home games, Congo DR scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 0.6 goals
Away from home, Uzbekistan scored an average of 1.62 goals and conceded 1.0 goals
Mercedes-Benz Stadium has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game across 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
There are no previous head-to-head matches between Congo DR and Uzbekistan available in the dataset
Key Players
For Congo DR, Yoane Wissa is an important attacker with 1 season goal and 1 goal in the last 5 games, with a season average rating of 6.94
Arthur Masuaku, a defender, provided 1 assist this season and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.92
Goalkeeper Lionel Mpasi-Nzau has a season average rating of 7.15
For Uzbekistan, Abbosbek Fayzullaev contributed with 1 season goal and 1 goal as well as 1 assist in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.96
Eldor Shomurodov scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and has a season average rating of 6.73
Defender Abdukodir Khusanov showed a rising form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.58
Goalkeepers
Congo DR's goalkeeper, Lionel Mpasi-Nzau, has a season average rating of 7.15 and the team achieved 7 clean sheets
Uzbekistan's goalkeeper Abduvokhid Nematov has a season average rating of 4.59, while his team recorded 10 clean sheets
Influences
The match will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on artificial turf
Congo DR has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss with 5:3 goals on artificial turf
Uzbekistan has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 0:5 goals on artificial turf
The stadium averages 3.0 goals per game, with a BTTS rate of 60% and an Over 2.5 rate of 60%