World Cup
Switzerland - Algeria
07/03/2026, 03:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.1
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
13%2:0
10%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Switzerland
Algeria
The Lab
- 1Switzerland: first goal in 6 of 6 games (100%)
- 2Switzerland: 7 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 3Switzerland with Silvan Widmer: 2.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 4Algeria with FarĆØs ChaĆÆbi: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 4.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 5Algeria: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
32%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 46% win probability for Switzerland, with 1.30 expected home goals compared to 0.84 expected goals for Algeria
- Critical attacking efficiency: Switzerland has only 50% of their goal production available, while Algeria has only 17%
- Switzerland's robust defense: They concede an average of only 0.33 goals per game, while Algeria's current form trend is negative
Risk Factors
- The absence of head-to-head data means a limited historical assessment of direct encounters
- Algeria's current form is described as 'Negative' in the advanced statistics, indicating potential struggles
- BC Place Stadium has a high goal rate of an average of 4.2 goals per game, which could lead to an unpredictable match flow
Overview
Switzerland (1st place, 7 points) faces Algeria (3rd place, 4 points) at BC Place Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on July 3, 2026, 4:00 AM. Switzerland leads its group, while Algeria is fighting for qualification.
Form
Switzerland shows good form with WDDWW in their last five games across all competitions. This equates to 3 wins and 2 draws. They recently recorded 2 consecutive wins.
Algeria has a form of WWLWD in their last five games, corresponding to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last result was a draw.
Statistics
Switzerland has scored an average of 2.33 goals per game this season and conceded only 0.33 goals. In home games, the average is 2.2 home goals and 0.2 home goals conceded per game. They kept 4 clean sheets.
Algeria recorded an average of 2.4 goals per game and 0.8 goals conceded this season. Away from home, they score 2.5 goals and concede 0.5 goals. They achieved 3 clean sheets.
BC Place Stadium has an average of 4.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and 4 out of 5 matches ending with over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head matches between Switzerland and Algeria.
Key Players
For Switzerland, Johan Manzambi stands out with 3 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form. Breel Embolo has 1 season goal and 2 assists, also displaying stable form. RubƩn Vargas contributed 2 goals and 1 assist, but his form is declining.
On Algeria's side, Riyad Mahrez is an important player with 2 goals and 2 assists this season, though his form is declining. Houssem Aouar contributed 2 assists, but also shows declining form. Rafik Belghali scored 1 goal.
Goalkeepers
Switzerland's goalkeeper, Gregor Kobel, recorded 4 clean sheets this season. For Algeria, Luca Zidane achieved 3 clean sheets this season.
Influences
Switzerland has a positive record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal difference of 6:2. No data is available for Algeria on artificial turf.
BC Place Stadium has averaged 4.2 goals per game in 5 matches played, with over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches. This suggests a tendency towards high-scoring encounters.