La Liga
Celta de Vigo - Mallorca
02/22/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Mallorca's extreme away weakness: Conceding an average of 2.88 goals per away game, their defense is the biggest vulnerability
- The goal threat of Vedat Muriqi: The Mallorca striker has already scored 16 goals this season and is capable of deciding any match on his own
- Clear favorite according to the model: The analysis predicts a 48% win probability for Celta de Vigo, while Mallorca only has a 25% chance
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Celta: The home team has had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to exhaustion
- Celta's inconsistent form: Despite being favorites, Celta has won only one of their last five matches (3 draws, 1 loss)
- Mallorca's unpredictability: Although their overall record is poor, they have achieved notable results in recent weeks, like the 4-1 victory over Sevilla
Overview
Celta de Vigo (7th place, 34 points) host Mallorca (18th place, 24 points) at the Estadio de BalaĂdos
The La Liga match will take place on February 22, 2026, at 6:30 PM
Celta is looking to secure an upper mid-table position, while Mallorca is in a relegation battle
Form
Celta de Vigo form (all competitions): DDLDW
From the last 5 matches, Celta achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and suffered 1 loss
Mallorca form (all competitions): WLWLL
Mallorca recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games, including two consecutive losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.33 goals per game and concedes 1.13
Mallorca scores an average of 1.21 goals but concedes 1.63 goals per game
Mallorca's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.88 goals per game
Both teams scored in 16 of Mallorca's 24 league games this season
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins for Celta de Vigo, 1 win for Mallorca, and 2 draws
The goal difference is slightly in favor of Celta de Vigo with 6:4
The last encounter on August 23, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Key Players
For Celta de Vigo, Ferran JutglĂ (3 goals, 1 assist), defender Javi Rueda (2 goals, 4 assists), and midfielder Miguel RomĂĄn could be in the spotlight
For Mallorca, striker Vedat Muriqi is the standout player with 16 seasonal goals
He is supported by Sergi Darder (1 goal, 3 assists) and SamĂș Costa (4 goals) in midfield
Goalkeepers
In goal for Celta de Vigo is IonuÈ Radu, who has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Leo RomĂĄn, Mallorca's goalkeeper, has managed to keep a clean sheet 3 times this season
Influences
Celta de Vigo has a solid home record, averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per game
The Estadio de BalaĂdos has recently been the scene of high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last five matches
In 80% of Celta's last five home games, more than 2.5 goals were scored