World Cup
Australia - Egypt
07/03/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
11%1:0
11%1:2
7%What influences the xG?
Australia
Egypt
The Lab
- 1Egypt: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 2Australia with Jackson Irvine: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3Egypt with Hamdy Fathy: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
33%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Australia has a critically limited goal threat, with only 5% of the usual active player goal production available
- The mathematical predictions indicate an extremely balanced match with a 33% chance for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an away win
- Egypt demonstrates stronger defensive season performance with an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game, compared to Australia's 0.44 goals conceded
Risk Factors
- Not named for Egypt: Mahmoud Trezeguet (1 Goal/1 Assist)
- Australia averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating difficulties in creating chances
- Playing on artificial turf could pose a risk, as Australia has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss on this surface
Overview
Australia (2nd place, 4 points) faces Egypt (2nd place, 5 points) at AT&T Stadium in the World Cup. The match takes place on July 3, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are fighting for progression to the next round in this knockout game.
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Australia's recent form is LDWLD from their last five matches
The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Egypt's form over the last five games is WLDWD
They achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Australia most recently drew a match, as did Egypt
Statistics
Australia averages 2.38 goals scored per game and concedes 0.44 goals this season
Egypt has a season average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes only 0.2 goals
Australia kept 10 clean sheets this season, while Egypt achieved 8 clean sheets
AT&T Stadium has an average of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches at the stadium, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any head-to-head matches between Australia and Egypt.
Key Players
For Australia, Connor Metcalfe (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 7.06) and Nestory Irankunda (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 6.82) are key players
Harry Souttar (0 goals, 0 assists, avg 7.00) is another key player in defense
For Egypt, Mohamed Salah stands out with 1 goal and 2 assists (avg 7.22)
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf scored 1 goal and 1 assist (avg 7.05)
Emam Ashour contributed 1 goal and 0 assists (avg 6.94)
Goalkeepers
Patrick Beach is the goalkeeper for Australia and has an average rating of 7.19 in 3 season appearances
Oufa Shobeir is Egypt's goalkeeper with an average rating of 7.45 in 3 season appearances
Australia recorded 10 clean sheets this season
Egypt achieved 8 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf at AT&T Stadium
Australia has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 2:2 goals on artificial turf
Egypt has a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses with 5:3 goals on artificial turf
Australia scores an average of 2.3 goals at home and concedes 0.3 goals
Egypt scores an average of 2.0 goals away and concedes 0.25 goals