World Cup

Côte d'Ivoire - Norway

06/30/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Côte d'Ivoire
0.9
Total xG
2.5
Norway
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:2

10%

0:0

10%

1:2

9%
What influences the xG?
CDNOR

Côte d'Ivoire

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.37
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings disadvantage (pos 44 vs 31, 13 places gap)
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.05

Norway

Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.50
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.16
Standings advantage (pos 31 vs 44, 13 places gap)
+0.09
Attack strength (1.34x league average)
-0.01
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Côte d'Ivoire: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Norway with Andreas Schjelderup: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Norway: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)

  • 4
    Côte d'Ivoire with Franck Kessié: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 3 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Norway: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

21%

Draw

29%

Away Win

51%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

49%

Away or Draw

79%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a clear favorite role for Norway with a 51% win probability
  • Norway demonstrates a strong offense with an average of 4.63 goals per season game
  • Côte d'Ivoire possesses an exceptionally solid defense with an average of 0.0 goals conceded per season game and 10 clean sheets
Risk Factors
  • Côte d'Ivoire averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating lower offensive efficiency
Overview

Côte d'Ivoire and Norway face each other at the AT&T Stadium in a World Cup fixture

Kick-off is on June 30, 2026, 6:00 PM

Both teams are currently in 2nd place in their respective groups with 6 points

Form

Côte d'Ivoire's form in the last five games is WWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This accounts for 4 wins and 1 loss

Côte d'Ivoire recently won 2-0 away against Curacao

Norway's form in their last five matches is WDWWL

This translates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Norway lost their last game 1-4 at home against France

Statistics

Côte d'Ivoire has an average of 2.5 goals scored per game this season and conceded 0.0 goals per game

The team kept 10 clean sheets

In home games, Côte d'Ivoire scored an average of 2.5 goals and conceded 0.0 goals

Norway boasts an impressive average of 4.63 goals scored per game this season, conceding 0.63 goals per game

They recorded 4 clean sheets

Away from home, Norway scored an average of 4.67 goals per game and conceded 1.0 goals per game

Matches at AT&T Stadium average 3.6 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 60% of matches

Head-to-Head

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head matches between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway

Key Players

For Côte d'Ivoire, key players include Nicolas Pépé (2 season goals, 2 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games, average rating 7.32 in last 5 games)

Yan Diomande contributed 2 assists in his last 5 games

Franck Kessié scored 1 season goal and 1 goal in his last 5 games

For Norway, Erling Haaland stands out with 4 season goals and 4 goals in his last 5 games (average rating 7.72 in last 5 games)

Martin Ødegaard provided 2 season assists and 1 goal with 2 assists in his last 5 games

Antonio Nusa scored 1 goal in his last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Yahia Fofana kept 10 clean sheets for Côte d'Ivoire this season

Ørjan Nyland recorded 4 clean sheets for Norway

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf at AT&T Stadium

Côte d'Ivoire has a record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses (3:0 goals) on artificial turf

Norway shows a record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (9:7 goals) on artificial turf

The stadium tends to host high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match

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