La Liga
Getafe - Sevilla
02/22/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
10%2:1
9%0:1
8%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
30%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Getafe's defensive home strength (0.83 goals conceded/game) meets Sevilla's extremely vulnerable away defense (2.0 goals conceded/game)
- The form curve clearly favors Getafe, who are unbeaten in four games and have won their last two, while Sevilla's performance is inconsistent
- The mathematical analysis slightly favors Getafe (40% win probability) in what is expected to be a low-scoring game, which suits Getafe's defensive style
Risk Factors
- Getafe has one of the weakest attacks in the league, averaging only 0.83 goals per game and failing to score in 10 of 24 matches
- Despite their weak defense, Sevilla has a potent attack that averages 1.3 goals away from home and is dangerous with 5.0 shots on target per game
- The historical head-to-head record favors Sevilla, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters
Overview
Getafe (11th place, 29 points) hosts Sevilla (13th place, 26 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez
La Liga match on February 22, 2026, 2:00 PM
A mid-table clash where a win for Getafe would see them leapfrog Sevilla and increase the gap to the bottom half
Form
Getafe is in good form and unbeaten in their last four matches
Last five games: L-D-D-W-W
The team is coming off two consecutive wins, most recently a 2-1 victory against Villarreal
Sevilla's form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five games
Last five games: D-W-L-D-D
Their last two matches ended in a draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Sevilla is stronger with an average of 1.29 goals per game compared to Getafe's 0.83
However, Getafe has a significantly more stable defense, conceding only 1.17 goals per game, compared to Sevilla's 1.63
Getafe is particularly strong at home, conceding an average of just 0.83 goals
Sevilla's away weakness is glaring: they concede an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road
Head-to-Head
In the last five direct encounters, Sevilla has the better record
Sevilla leads with 3 wins to Getafe's 1, with one draw
The goal difference is 6:3 in favor of Sevilla
However, Getafe won the most recent meeting 2-1
Key Players
Mauro Arambarri is a key goalscorer for Getafe with 5 goals this season, and has scored twice in the last five games
Luis Milla shines as a creator with 8 assists this season
Luis VĂĄzquez has proven to be an effective striker, with 2 goals in his last 4 appearances
For Sevilla, Akor Adams is the top scorer with 6 goals and 3 assists
Djibril Sow has contributed 3 goals this season
Defender Kike Salas shows goal-scoring threat, having netted once in the last five matches
Goalkeepers
In goal for Getafe is David Soria, who has kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches
Sevilla's goalkeeper is Odysseas Vlachodimos, who has achieved 4 clean sheets in 20 appearances
Statistically, Soria has a slightly better record this season
Influences
Getafe's defensive strength at home is a key factor, with only 0.83 goals conceded per home game
In contrast, Sevilla has a glaring defensive weakness away from home, allowing an average of 2.0 goals per game
Matches at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez have recently been low-scoring, with an average of just 1.6 goals in the last five games