La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Girona
02/23/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
29%
Away Win
40%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
60%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Girona's slight favorite status is supported by the mathematical analysis, which calculates a 40% win probability
- The head-to-head record clearly favors Girona, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters and also won the most recent meeting
- Alavés' strong home defense (only 0.81 goals conceded/game) meets Girona's weak away defense (1.58 goals conceded/game), which makes the game open
Risk Factors
- Girona is very vulnerable defensively away from home, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per game
- With just 0.88 goals per game, Alavés has one of the weakest attacks in the league
- The absence of Carlos Vicente, who has already scored 5 goals this season, could further weaken the Alavés offense
Overview
Deportivo Alavés (15th place, 26 points) host Girona (13th place, 29 points) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga match on February 23, 2026, 9:00 PM
An important clash in the bottom half of the table, with both teams looking to gain points to steer clear of the relegation battle
Form
Deportivo Alavés form: WWLLD
The home team has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last five matches
Girona form: WDLDW
The visitors are in slightly better form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and one loss, and are unbeaten in their last two games
Statistics
Alavés is very stable defensively at home, conceding only 0.81 goals per game
Offensively, Alavés is rather harmless with only 0.88 goals per home game
Girona is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.58 goals
In return, they score an average of 1.0 goal per away game
Head-to-Head
Girona has the upper hand in the last 5 direct encounters
Girona won 3 matches, Alavés only one, with one draw
The goal difference of 7:3 also favors the visitors
The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Girona
Key Players
Toni Martínez has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists for Alavés this season and is in rising form
Lucas Boyé is another important attacker for the home team with 5 seasonal goals as well
Carles Aleñá is the primary creator for Alavés with 4 assists
Vladyslav Vanat is Girona's top scorer with 7 goals this season
Viktor Tsygankov already has 4 goals and 2 assists to his name
Thomas Lemar provides a goal threat from midfield and has scored 2 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Antonio Sivera in goal for Alavés has kept 3 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Paulo Gazzaniga, has 4 clean sheets for Girona
Influences
The home advantage for Alavés is clearly in their defense, with only 0.81 goals conceded per home game
At the Estadio de Mendizorroza, there has been an average of 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of Alavés' last 5 home games