La Liga
Real Betis - Rayo Vallecano
02/21/2026, 03:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Drastic form difference: Real Betis has won 4 of the last 5 games, while Rayo has lost 4 of the last 5
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Betis is very stable defensively at home (0.86 goals conceded/game), while Rayo concedes almost 2 goals per game away (1.91)
- Offensive superiority: Betis scores significantly more goals on average (1.63) than Rayo Vallecano (0.91), underlining their role as favorites
Risk Factors
- Rayo's defensive vulnerability: The away team concedes an average of 1.91 goals per game on the road
- Balanced H2H record: Despite Rayo's current form crisis, past direct encounters have mostly been close (3 of 5 ended in a draw)
- Betis' stuttering offense: According to advanced stats, Betis' recent goal production (1.4 goals/game) is lower than their season average (1.9)
Overview
Real Betis (5th place, 41 points) host Rayo Vallecano (17th place, 25 points) at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla
The La Liga match will take place on February 21, 2026, at 4:15 PM
Betis aims to solidify its position in the European spots, while Rayo fights for crucial points in the relegation battle
Form
Real Betis form: WWLWW
In the last 5 matches, there have been 4 wins and 1 loss
The team has won the last 2 consecutive games
Rayo Vallecano form: LLLLW
In the last 5 matches, there has been 1 win and 4 losses
The recent win ended a four-game losing streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Real Betis scores an average of 1.63 goals per game this season and concedes 1.21
Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 0.91 goals and concedes 1.30
At home, Betis is strong, scoring 1.57 goals while conceding only 0.86 per game
Rayo Vallecano is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.91 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record is balanced
Real Betis won 1 time, Rayo Vallecano won 1 time, and there were 3 draws
The goal difference is 4:5 from Real Betis' perspective
The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw
Key Players
Antony (6 season goals, 5 assists)
Pablo Fornals (6 season goals, 4 assists)
Abde Ezzalzouli (5 season goals, 4 assists)
Jorge de Frutos (7 season goals, 1 assist)
Isi PalazĂłn (2 season goals, 3 assists)
Nobel Mendy (2 season goals)
Goalkeepers
Ălvaro Valles of Real Betis has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Influences
Real Betis has a clear home advantage, conceding less than one goal per game on average at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla
The last 5 games at this venue have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Betis' last 5 home games