Friendly International

Iraq - Venezuela

06/10/2026, 01:00 AM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Iraq
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Venezuela
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
IRAVEN

Iraq

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.78
Standings disadvantage (pos 58 vs 49, 9 places gap)
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.03
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

Venezuela

Attack strength (1.79x league average)
+0.75
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
-0.38
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1 league avg)
+0.30
Rising form (2 vs 1 season average)
+0.29
Standings advantage (pos 49 vs 58, 9 places gap)
+0.06
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.05
Gleiker Mendoza not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.34
+0.34
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Venezuela with Teo Quintero: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

28%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close game, with both Iraq (36%) and Venezuela (37%) having similar chances of winning, and a draw also highly weighted at 28%
  • Iraq's defensive strength this season (average 0.65 goals conceded per game) meets Venezuela's extremely vulnerable away defense (average 3.33 goals conceded per away game)
  • Both teams show critical concerns regarding available offensive strength, with 0% of the usual starting XI's goal-scoring power available. For Venezuela, Gleiker Mendoza (1G/1A) is also missing
Risk Factors
  • Data availability is limited, as no historical head-to-head matches or detailed venue history are provided
  • Iraq recorded an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating potential difficulties in creating clear scoring opportunities
  • Venezuela conceded 2 goals in their last match against TĂŒrkiye, signaling a vulnerability in recent defensive performance
Overview

Iraq host Venezuela at SeatGeek Stadium in a Friendly International match on June 10, 2026, 1:00 AM. This is an international friendly.

Form

Iraq displays strong current form with 'DDWWD' in their last five games. The team recorded 2 wins and 3 draws during this period and remains unbeaten. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. Venezuela showed mixed form with 'WLWDL' in their last five encounters, achieving 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses.

Statistics

Iraq has shown a strong offensive performance this season with an average of 1.5 goals per game and a solid defense, conceding only 0.65 goals per match. The team kept 12 clean sheets and failed to score in 4 matches. Venezuela scores an average of 1.0 goal per game but has a vulnerable defense, conceding 1.56 goals on average. This season, they failed to score in 6 games and kept 6 clean sheets. Venezuela's away record is particularly noticeable, as they score an average of 1.0 goal but concede 3.33 goals per away game.

Head-to-Head

No head-to-head data is available for Iraq and Venezuela. Therefore, an analysis of historical encounters is not possible.

Key Players

For Iraq, Rebin Sulaka (Defender) stands out, having played in 3 of the last 5 games and showing a slightly rising form. He achieved an average rating of 7.07 in his last five appearances. For Venezuela, goalkeeper José Contreras is an important player, featuring in 4 of the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.20. His form shows a slight declining trend.

Goalkeepers

Iraq's goalkeeper contributed to 12 clean sheets this season, with 5 of them in home games. For Venezuela, goalkeeper José Contreras is expected. Venezuela's team recorded a total of 6 clean sheets this season but has not managed any away clean sheets.

Influences

Iraq shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.45 goals scored and 0.64 goals conceded per home game. Venezuela's away statistics indicate a weak defense, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per away match. No data on stadium history or weather influences is available, which complicates the analysis.

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