Friendly International
Greece - Italy
06/07/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Greece
Italy
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
30%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a very close outcome, with a 39% home win, 30% draw, and 32% away win
- Italy showed a very strong defense in their single season game, with 0 goals conceded and 1 clean sheet
- Greece averaged 4.5 shots on target in their last 4 games
Risk Factors
- Greece had only 3 days since their last match
- Italy averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last game
- Greece failed to score in 2 out of 3 season games
Overview
Greece hosts Italy at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis for a Friendly International match on June 7, 2026, 9:00 PM
The mathematical analysis predicts a close outcome, with a 39% probability for a home win, a 30% draw, and a 32% away win
Form
Greece has a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last four games (WLDD)
Most recently, Greece drew 2-2 away against Sweden
This was followed by a 0-0 draw away against Hungary
Italy has secured 1 win in their last game (W)
Italy recently won 1-0 away against Luxembourg
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Greece averages 0.67 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goal per game this season
Italy averages 1.0 goal scored per game and has conceded 0.0 goals in their single season game so far
Greece had both teams scoring in 1 of 3 season games and over 2.5 goals in 1 of 3 games
Italy had both teams scoring in 0 of 1 season game and over 2.5 goals in 0 of 1 game
The Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis venue has seen an average of 4.0 goals per game in one match
At this venue, both teams scored in 0 of 1 game and there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 1 game
Head-to-Head
No data is available for previous head-to-head encounters between Greece and Italy
Key Players
For Greece, Georgios Masouras is in good form, with 1 season goal and 0 assists and a season average rating of 7.07
Christos Tzolis has provided 1 season assist and scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 games, showing a rising form trend
Anastasios Douvikas scored 2 goals in his last 5 games, indicating a rising form
For Italy, Pio Esposito is a key player with 1 season goal and a season average rating of 7.6
Niccolò Pisilli has 1 season assist and contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games, showing a rising form trend
Cher Ndour showed stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Greece's goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
Italy's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
Influences
The Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis venue has an average of 4.0 total goals per game
At this stadium, the Over 2.5 goals mark was exceeded in 1 of 1 game, and both teams scored in 0 of 1 game