La Liga
Levante - Deportivo Alavés
02/27/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.6
1.7
1:1
13%0:2
11%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
5%What influences the xG?
Levante
Deportivo Alavés
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
18%
Draw
27%
Away Win
56%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
44%
Away or Draw
82%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Levante's massive form crisis (four consecutive losses) contrasts with Alavés' more stable condition, who have a 56% win probability according to the mathematical prediction
- Both defensive lines are extremely vulnerable: Levante concedes 2.09 goals per game at home, Alavés 2.12 away
- Levante's offense has recently been ineffective according to stats (0.5 goals on average), while Alavés scores consistently (1.4 goals on average)
Risk Factors
- Despite the current form, the historical record of the last five duels is balanced with two wins each
- Deportivo Alavés has had only four days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Levante must do without injured players R. Brugué Ayguadé and U. Elgezabal Udondo
Overview
Levante (19th place, 18 points) host Deportivo Alavés (14th place, 27 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
This is a key La Liga match in the relegation battle on February 27, 2026, 9:00 PM
For Levante, it's about not losing touch, while Alavés aims to increase the gap to the relegation zone
Form
Levante's form is worrying with four consecutive losses and one draw (Form: DLLLL)
In the last five games, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Deportivo Alavés appears slightly more stable with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (Form: WLLDD)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Both teams have defensive weaknesses
Levante concedes an average of 2.09 goals at home, while Alavés concedes an average of 2.12 goals away
Offensively, both teams are below average, with Levante scoring 1.0 home goals per game and Alavés 0.88 away goals
Both teams scored in 12 of Levante's 25 matches, and in 14 of Alavés' 25 matches
Head-to-Head
The record of the last five head-to-head matches is completely balanced with two wins each for Levante and Deportivo Alavés, and one draw
The goal difference is 5-3 in favor of Levante
The last encounter was won by Alavés 2-1
Key Players
For Levante, the offensive players Iván Romero (4 goals, 1 assist) and Carlos Álvarez (3 goals, 1 assist) are under pressure
For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé (7 goals, 1 assist) and Toni Martínez (5 goals, 2 assists) are the crucial attackers
They are supported by midfielder Carles Aleñá, who has already provided 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Mathew Ryan is in goal for Levante, whose team has kept 4 clean sheets this season
For Deportivo Alavés, Antonio Sivera is the goalkeeper; his team has managed 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Levante has significant defensive problems at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per home game
The last five matches at the stadium have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals
Alavés is also very vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.12 goals