Friendly International
Spain - Iraq
06/04/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
56%
Draw
26%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
44%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Significant reduction in Spain's offensive strength, with only 40% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
- Spain's tactical dominance in possession (66% possession) and with an average of 7.0 shots on target in the last 2 games
- The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of a home win at 56%
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for Iraq's form and season statistics
Overview
Spain hosts Iraq in a Friendly International match at Estadio Abanca-Riazor. The game is scheduled for June 4, 2026, 9:00 PM. Spain enters this encounter as the favorite.
Form
Spain's recent form shows a W-D in two games. Their last outing was a 0-0 draw against Egypt, preceded by a 3-0 victory over Serbia. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. No recent form data is available for Iraq.
Statistics
Spain has scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0 goals in two season games. The team kept two clean sheets and both teams did not score in 0 of 2 matches. At Estadio Abanca-Riazor, an average of 1.0 goals per game was observed in two matches, with neither team scoring in both halves nor more than 2.5 goals scored. Iraq has scored 1 goal and conceded 0 goals in the season, with an average of 1.0 goals per game. The team kept one clean sheet in its only game.
Key Players
For Spain, Ferran Torres (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games), Borja Iglesias (2 goals in last 5 games), and Dani Olmo (1 assist in last 5 games, rising form trend) are key offensive players. For Iraq, Ibrahim Bayesh stands out with one goal in the last 5 games. Merchas Doski provided one assist in the last 5 games, while Ali Jasim has an average rating of 6.92 in the last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Joan García is in goal for Spain; the team kept two clean sheets in two games. Iraq's goalkeeper is Ahmed Basil Fadhil, and the team kept one clean sheet in its only game.
Influences
Spain demonstrates strong home defense, having scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0 goals in two home games. At Estadio Abanca-Riazor, an average of 1.0 goals per game was observed in the last two matches, with no games where both teams scored or more than 2.5 goals were scored.