Friendly International
Morocco - Burundi
05/26/2026, 11:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%The Lab
- 1Morocco: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)
- 2Morocco: scored only after the break in 4 of 6 games
- 3Morocco: 60% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (6 of 10)
- 4Morocco: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 6 games. Against Tunisia: 2 goals (80', 90+4')
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Morocco's strong form: The team is unbeaten in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw)
- Morocco's tactical dominance: The team was possession-dominant (64% possession) and averaged 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Prediction model: Mathematical analysis favors Morocco with a 46% home win probability and predicted goals of 1.68 compared to 1.26 for Burundi
Risk Factors
- Limited data available for Burundi, as away team season statistics are missing
- No historical head-to-head encounters available between the teams
- Incomplete xG data for Morocco's last 5 games (3 out of 5 are missing)
Overview
Morocco will host Burundi in a Friendly International match on May 26, 2026, 11:00 AM. The game will take place in a neutral setting.
Form
Morocco displays strong form over their last five matches with a record of WWWDW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
This includes 4 wins and 1 draw
Their last victory was a 2-1 against Paraguay
Burundi's away form is not included in the provided dataset
Statistics
Morocco has averaged 1.5 goals scored per home game and conceded 1.0 goals per home game this season
Both teams scored in 2 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 match
No statistics for Burundi's away games this season are available
Head-to-Head
No previous head-to-head encounters between Morocco and Burundi were found in the provided dataset
Key Players
For Morocco: Neil El Aynaoui (Midfielder) with 2 season goals and an average rating of 7.47
Achraf Hakimi (Defender) with 3 season assists and an average rating of 7.36
Bilal El Khannouss (Midfielder) with 1 season goal and an average rating of 7.02
No player statistics for Burundi are available for the current season
Goalkeepers
Morocco's goalkeeper, Yassine Bounou, has an average rating of 6.9 in 2 season appearances
Morocco has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Information on Burundi's goalkeepers is not available
Influences
Morocco has scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in their home games
No data on pitch, weather, or previous matches at the venue is available