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Slovakia – Malta2 : 1
Why the model thinks so
Slovakia
1.68
Total xG
2.87
Malta
1.19
Expected goals from our model, before kickoff
Key factors
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis sees Slovakia as a slight favorite with a 47% win probability and 1.68 expected goals
- Historical dominance: Slovakia has achieved three wins and one draw in four head-to-head matches against Malta, with a goal difference of 14:3
- Slovakia's current offensive strength: In their last game, Slovakia scored 2 goals from 6 shots on target with 50% possession
Risks
- Limited starting XI strength: Only 50% of Slovakia's usual starting XI strength is available
- Slovakia injury absences: Key players such as S. Lobotka (Muscle Injury), M. Rodák (Wrist Injury), and D. Hancko (Ankle Problems) are missing
- Limited data availability: Comprehensive season data or last five game results are not available for Malta
All probabilities
Result
Slovakia47%
Draw27%
Malta26%
Goals
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
Over 3.532%
Under 3.568%
Double chance
Slovakia or draw74%
Malta or draw53%
No draw73%
Both teams score
Yes58%
No42%
Most likely scores
1:1
13%
2:1
10%
2:0
8%
1:2
7%
2:2
6%
Lineups
Slovakia 4-3-3 · Malta 4-2-3-1
Slovakia
- 23 D. Takáč
- 26 H. Pávek
- 4 M. Valjent
- 5 Ľ. Šatka
- 16 A. Obert
- 10 L. Bénes
- 6 P. Pokorny
- 8 O. Duda
- 7 T. Suslov
- 15 D. Strelec
- 17 L. Haraslín
Malta
- 1 H. Bonello
- 22 Z. Muscat
- 5 K. Shaw
- 3 K. Scicluna
- 21 J. Corbalan
- 6 M. Guillaumier
- 10 T. Teuma
- 20 I. Chouaref
- 23 A. Satariano
- 26 K. Ewurum
- 7 J. Mbong
Substitutes
- 3 D. Vavro
- 14 M. Sauer
- 9 R. Boženík
- 18 A. Gajdoš
- 1 Ľ. Belko
- 25 K. Bari
- 24 M. Faško
- 12 J. Surovčík
- 19 D. Krcik
- 20 A. Kaprálik
- 2 P. Pekarík
- 21 M. Bero
- 11 R. Galčík
- 22 P. Kováčik
- 18 B. Tuma
- 19 C. Lonardelli
- 9 J. Grech
- 14 A. Garzia
- 15 M. Beerman
- 8 P. Mbong
- 2 J. Borg
- 4 G. Bohrer Mentz
- 12 J. Sissons
- 13 E. Pepe
- 16 R. Al-Tumi
- 17 J. Azzopardi
- 24 B. Paiber
- 25 A. Zammit
- 11 K. Cannavò
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