La Liga
Mallorca - Real Sociedad
02/28/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
3.2
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
25%
Away Win
49%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
51%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Form disparity: Real Sociedad's strong form (WWWLD) meets Mallorca's deep crisis (LWLLL) with three consecutive losses
- Offensive trends: Real Sociedad's attack is currently scoring more goals (2.2) than their season average (1.6), while Mallorca's offense is underperforming (1.0)
- Tactical matchup: Real Sociedad's attack-minded style with 5.2 shots on target per game will test Mallorca's defense, which has recently conceded an average of 2.2 goals
Risk Factors
- Real Sociedad squad issues: The visitors are missing key offensive players, leaving only 68% of their seasonal goal threat available, including Brais MĂ©ndez (5 goals, 2 assists)
- Defensive vulnerability: Both teams are defensively vulnerable; Real Sociedad concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Venue statistics: Recent games at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix have been unusually high-scoring with an average of 4.0 goals, which could lead to an unpredictable result
Overview
Mallorca, in 18th place with 24 points, hosts Real Sociedad, who are in 10th place with 32 points
The La Liga match will take place on February 28, 2026, at 6:30 PM at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca is fighting for crucial points to avoid relegation, while Real Sociedad is in the mid-table
The mathematical analysis favors the visitors with a 49% win probability
Form
Mallorca's form in the last five games: LWLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This equates to one win and four losses, including a current three-game losing streak
Real Sociedad's form in the last five games: WWWLD
The visitors have won three of their last five matches, with one draw and one loss
Statistics
Real Sociedad is slightly stronger offensively, averaging 1.48 goals per game compared to Mallorca's 1.16
Both defenses are vulnerable, with Mallorca conceding an average of 1.64 goals and Real Sociedad 1.52
Both teams scored in 21 of Real Sociedad's 25 league games, while this was the case in 16 of Mallorca's matches
The last five games at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix have been very high-scoring, with an average of 4.0 goals per game
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, the record is balanced
Both teams have won two games each, with one match ending in a draw
The goal difference is narrowly in favor of Mallorca at 5-4
The last meeting was won by Real Sociedad with a score of 1-0
Key Players
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the key player in attack with 16 goals this season
He is supported by Jan Virgili, who has provided 5 assists, and SamĂș Costa with 4 goals
For Real Sociedad, Mikel Oyarzabal is the top scorer with 10 goals and 3 assists
Gonçalo Guedes (6 goals, 4 assists) and Orri Ăskarsson (4 goals) are also important offensive players
Goalkeepers
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo RomĂĄn has been involved in 3 clean sheets in 25 team games
Ălex Remiro, in goal for Real Sociedad, has kept one clean sheet so far this season
Influences
Mallorca is relatively stable at home, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal per game
However, the last five matches at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix have been unusually high-scoring
In all five games, there were over 2.5 goals and both teams scored
The average was 4.0 goals per game, which could suggest a high-scoring encounter