Friendly International
Bolivia - Algeria
06/11/2026, 12:00 AM
Expected Goals
0.8
3.0
2.2
0:2
12%1:1
10%1:2
10%0:3
9%1:3
7%What influences the xG?
Bolivia
Algeria
League
The Lab
- 1Bolivia with Lucas Dionis Macazaga Ojopi: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Algeria with Ibrahim Maza: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3Algeria: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 4Bolivia: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
11%
Draw
20%
Away Win
69%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
31%
Away or Draw
89%
No Draw
80%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Critical Squad Impact: Bolivia has only 0% of its usual goal threat available without Fernando Nava (1G/1A)
- Form Disparity: Algeria shows significantly better form (WWWDW) than Bolivia (DLWLL)
- Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a probability of 69%
Risk Factors
- Limited Data: xG values are missing for 4 of Bolivia's last 5 games
- Algeria's Offensive Efficiency: Averaged 3.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, despite a strong scoring record
Overview
Bolivia hosts Algeria at the Estadio Hernando Siles for an International Friendly. The match will take place on June 11, 2026, 1:00 AM. This is an opportunity for both teams to test their form and refine tactics.
Form
Bolivia's current form (DLWLL) shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Most recently, they suffered a 0-4 loss against Scotland and a 1-2 loss against Iraq. Algeria's form (WWWDW) is significantly better with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five games. They recently secured a 1-0 win against Netherlands and a 0-0 draw against Uruguay. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Bolivia averages 0.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.94 goals. In home games, they are defensively more stable with an average of 0.5 goals conceded, but also score only 0.93 home goals. Algeria shows strong offensive performance this season with an average of 2.4 goals per game and concedes only 0.8 goals. Away from home, they score an average of 2.5 goals and concede 0.5 goals. At the venue, the last 4 games averaged 3.0 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 of 4 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 of 4 matches.
Head-to-Head
There has been only one direct encounter between these two teams so far. Algeria won this match 3-2 on March 22, 2024. The historical record therefore shows Algeria's dominance in this short history.
Key Players
For Bolivia, Miguelito with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games (avg rating 7.21) and Moises Paniagua with 1 goal (avg rating 6.83) show rising form. Roberto Fernández is also notable with a rising form and a rating of 6.54. For Algeria, Nabil Bentaleb is an important midfielder with an average rating of 7.32 and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Aïssa Mandi shows a rising form with an average rating of 7.16, and Ibrahim Maza provided 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.88. Not selected are Houssem Aouar (1 goal, 1 assist) and Amine Gouiri (2 goals, 0 assists).
Goalkeepers
Carlos Lampe is expected in goal for Bolivia, while Oussama Benbout is set to start for Algeria. Bolivia recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while Algeria achieved 3 clean sheets.
Influences
Bolivia's home strength is evident in their defensive statistics, with only 0.5 goals conceded on average in home games. The Estadio Hernando Siles venue has seen an average of 3.0 goals in 4 matches, with an Over 2.5 rate of 75% and a BTTS rate of 25%. The playing surface is grass.