La Liga
Real Madrid - Getafe
03/02/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.4
3.3
1.0
2:0
10%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
67%
Draw
20%
Away Win
13%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
87%
Away or Draw
33%
No Draw
80%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Class difference in the table: Real Madrid (2nd) is fighting for the title, while Getafe (13th) is in the mid-table
- Historical dominance: Real Madrid has won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches, with a goal difference of 8-1
- Fortress Bernabéu: Real Madrid is extremely strong at home (2.23 goals per game) and faces a Getafe side that is weak away (1.38 goals conceded per game)
Risk Factors
- Significant injury concerns for Real Madrid: The absence of top scorer K. Mbappé (23 season goals) and key player J. Bellingham significantly weakens the offense
- Getafe's improving form: Getafe has been scoring more frequently recently (1.3 goals per game) than their season average (0.9)
Overview
Real Madrid (2nd place, 60 points) hosts Getafe (13th place, 29 points) at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on March 2, 2026, 9:00 PM
The hosts are clear favorites and aim to stay in the title race, while Getafe is collecting points for a secure mid-table position
Form
Real Madrid is in strong form with 4 wins from the last 5 matches
Their form string is: W W W L W
Getafe, on the other hand, has won only 2 of their last 5 games and lost the most recent one
Their form is: D D W W L
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Real Madrid's attack is clearly superior, averaging 2.16 goals per game, while Getafe scores only 0.8
Real Madrid is especially dominant at home, scoring an average of 2.23 goals
Getafe is vulnerable away, conceding 1.38 goals per game while only scoring 0.77 themselves
Getafe has failed to score in 11 of their 25 league games this season
Head-to-Head
The recent head-to-head record speaks very clearly in favor of Real Madrid
In the last 5 direct encounters, Real Madrid won every single match
The goal difference is 8-1 in favor of the home team
The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Real Madrid
Key Players
For Real Madrid, Vinicius Junior (9 season goals, 5 assists) and Arda GĂŒler (3 goals, 7 assists) are crucial for the offense
Federico Valverde has also contributed 7 assists
For Getafe, Mauro Arambarri with 5 season goals and Luis Milla with 8 assists are the most important players in midfield
Luis VĂĄzquez has also drawn attention with 2 goals in 5 appearances
Goalkeepers
In goal for Real Madrid is Thibaut Courtois, who has kept 11 clean sheets this season
For Getafe, David Soria is the goalkeeper, having achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Influences
Real Madrid enjoys a tremendous home advantage at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
They score an average of 2.23 goals at home and concede only 0.62
The stadium has recently proven to be very high-scoring, with an average of 4.0 goals in the last five home matches