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La Liga

Getafe - Real Betis

03/08/2026, 03:15 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Getafe
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Real Betis
1.0
Most Likely Scores

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
GETRB

Getafe

Attack weakness (0.5x league average)
-0.86
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.27
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Rising form (1.2 vs 0.9 season average)
+0.10
Standings disadvantage (pos 11 vs 5, 6 places gap)
-0.06
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.02
B. Mayoral Moya not in squad (4 goals, 1 assists)
38% of goal output missing (only 61% available)

Real Betis

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.21
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.9 season average)
-0.21
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 11, 6 places gap)
+0.03
Antony on the bench (7 goals, 5 assists)
Pablo Fornals on the bench (6 goals, 4 assists)
Aitor Ruibal on the bench (4 goals, 1 assists)
Cédric Bakambu on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Marc Roca on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
35% of goal output missing (only 60% available)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.9 goals/match)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

29%

Draw

35%

Away Win

36%

Goals

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

64%

Away or Draw

71%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

39%

No

61%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline Prediction: An away win for Real Betis (36%) or a draw (35%) is most likely
  • Head-to-head: Real Betis dominated the last five encounters with three wins and none for Getafe
  • Form Trend: Getafe shows positive form development with 3 wins and 1 draw from 5 games, while Real Betis' form is declining
Risk Factors
  • Getafe are missing key players, including B. Mayoral Moya, reducing their season goals by 38%
  • Real Betis are missing several key players, including Antony, Pablo Fornals, Aitor Ruibal, CĂ©dric Bakambu, Marc Roca, with only 60% of their usual starting XI strength available
  • Both teams show low shots on target in their tactical metrics (Getafe 3.0, Real Betis 3.4)
Overview

Getafe (11th place, 32 points) host Real Betis (5th place, 43 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. The La Liga match will take place on March 8, 2026, 4:15 PM. Real Betis are fighting for European qualification spots, while Getafe are in the mid-table.

Form

Getafe's form across all competitions is 'DWWLW', with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their last result was a win. Real Betis' form is 'LWWDD', with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their last two results were draws.

Statistics

Getafe has scored an average of 0.81 goals per game this season and conceded 1.12 goals. They kept 7 clean sheets. At home, Getafe averages 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded. Real Betis has scored an average of 1.62 goals per game and conceded 1.23 goals. They kept 8 clean sheets. Away from home, Real Betis averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded. In Getafe's home matches, an average of 1.6 goals were scored, and in 40% of the games, both teams scored or there were over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-Head

In the last five head-to-head matches, Getafe secured no wins, Real Betis achieved three wins, and there were two draws. Real Betis scored 10 goals, Getafe 4 goals. The last encounter saw Real Betis win 4-0 on December 21, 2025. Real Betis has dominated recent matchups.

Key Players

For Getafe, Luis Milla is an important player with 8 assists this season and a rising form trend. Mauro Arambarri has been in rising form with 5 season goals and 2 goals in his last 5 games. Juan Iglesias contributed with 1 goal and 2 assists, showing a rising form trend recently. For Real Betis, Cucho Hernåndez stands out, contributing 8 goals and 3 assists this season, and scoring 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Abde Ezzalzouli has 5 goals and 5 assists this season, with one assist in his last 5 games. Chimy Ávila scored 1 goal this season and 1 goal in his last 5 appearances.

Goalkeepers

Getafe's goalkeeper David Soria made 26 season appearances and kept 7 clean sheets. Real Betis' goalkeeper Álvaro Valles played in 18 games and managed to keep 8 clean sheets.

Influences

The Coliseum Alfonso Pérez is known for an average of 1.6 goals per game. In 40% of Getafe's recent home matches, both teams scored, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals. Getafe scores an average of 0.83 goals at home and concedes 0.92 goals. Real Betis scores 1.55 goals away and also concedes 1.55 goals.

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