La Liga
Levante - Girona
03/07/2026, 03:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.5
1.4
1:1
14%0:0
10%0:1
10%1:2
9%0:2
8%What influences the xG?
Levante
Girona
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
30%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 42% win probability for Girona, while Levante stands at 28%
- Levante is in a form crisis with only one win in five games, while Girona shows more stable performances
- Girona demonstrates higher offensive efficiency with an average of 5.6 shots on target per game compared to Levante's 3.0 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Levante's offense produces an average of only 3.0 shots on target per game
- Levante concedes an average of 1.92 goals per home game
- The stadium has a history of low scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per game
Overview
Levante (19th place, 21 points) host Girona (14th place, 30 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
This La Liga match takes place on March 7, 2026, 4:15 PM
While Levante fights against relegation, Girona aims to establish itself in mid-table
Form
Levante currently shows poor form with LLLLW, including a 2-0 win against Alavés and losses against Barcelona, Villarreal, Valencia, and Athletic Club
The team recorded one win and four losses in their last five games
Girona's form is LDWDL, including a 2-1 win against Barcelona and draws against Alavés and Sevilla
They have one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Levante averages 1.08 goals per game and concedes 1.69 goals
At home, they average 1.08 goals scored and 1.92 goals conceded per home game
Girona averages 1.04 goals and concedes 1.62 goals per match
Away from home, these values are 1.08 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded
Levante's goal production is currently stagnant at 0.8 goals, while the season average is 1.2 goals
Girona consistently scores around 1.2 goals per game
At the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, an average of 2.0 goals per game are scored, and both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 games
Only 1 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches between Levante and Girona, Levante secured two wins, while three matches ended in a draw
Girona has not won any of these five games
The goal difference is 10:5 in favor of Levante
The last encounter resulted in a clear 4-0 victory for Levante on September 20, 2025, suggesting Levante's recent dominance
Key Players
For Levante, IvĂĄn Romero with 4 goals and 1 assist, Carlos EspĂ with 3 goals, and Jon Ander Olasagasti with 1 goal and 2 assists are key players
For Girona, Vladyslav Vanat stands out with 9 goals and 1 assist, Viktor Tsygankov with 5 goals and 2 assists, and Azzedine Ounahi with 3 goals and 2 assists
Carlos Ălvarez (3G/1A) is not nominated for Levante, while Bryan Gil (0G/3A) is missing from Girona's squad
Goalkeepers
Levante's goalkeeper Mathew Ryan recorded 5 clean sheets this season
For Girona, Paulo Gazzaniga kept a clean sheet in 4 games
Influences
The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia is a grass pitch
An average of 2.0 goals are scored per game there
Levante averages 1.08 home goals scored and 1.92 home goals conceded
Girona scores 1.08 goals away and concedes 1.62 goals