La Liga
Espanyol - Real Oviedo
03/09/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Espanyol
Real Oviedo
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Pipeline analysis: The mathematical prediction forecasts a home win for Espanyol with 52% probability
- League standing: Espanyol is in 7th place, while Real Oviedo occupies the last position (20th)
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Espanyol scores 1.23 goals at home, while Real Oviedo scores only 0.61 goals away
Risk Factors
- Real Oviedo: Only 64% of the usual starting XI strength is available, as Ilyas Chaira (3 Goals/1 Assist) and Haissem Hassan (0 Goals/3 Assists) are missing
- Espanyol's offensive efficiency: Espanyol averages only 2.8 shots on target per game
- Espanyol's current form: The home team has not secured a win in their last five matches (LLDLD)
Overview
Espanyol (7th place, 36 points) host Real Oviedo (20th place, 17 points) at the RCDE Stadium
La Liga match on March 9, 2026, 9:00 PM
Espanyol is the clear favorite in this encounter
Form
Espanyol's current form across all competitions is LLDLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Elche
Real Oviedo's form shows WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
They lost their last game 0-3 against Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol has a goal difference of 8:14 in their last five matches
Real Oviedo managed a goal difference of 4:9 in their last five matches
Espanyol is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
Real Oviedo is currently scoring more frequently (1.0 goals) than their season average (0.8 goals)
Statistics
Espanyol averages 1.23 goals scored at home per game and concedes 1.38 goals
Real Oviedo averages 0.61 goals scored away and concedes 1.61 goals
Espanyol kept 7 clean sheets this season, with 3 at home
Real Oviedo managed 6 clean sheets this season, but none away
Espanyol had both teams scoring (BTTS) in 15 matches and over 2.5 goals in 14 matches
Real Oviedo had 8 BTTS matches and 10 matches with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters, Espanyol secured 3 wins and Real Oviedo 2 wins, with no draws
Espanyol scored a total of 6 goals, while Real Oviedo netted 4 goals
The last meeting saw Espanyol win 2-0 on October 17, 2025
Espanyol has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head matches
Key Players
Carlos Romero is a key player for Espanyol with 5 season goals and 2 assists, his form is currently declining
Kike GarcĂa contributes 5 goals and 1 assist to Espanyol's offense, his form is stable
Tyrhys Dolan has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists, his form is stable
Federico Viñas is Real Oviedo's top scorer with 5 season goals and 1 assist, his form is rising
Alberto Reina scored 2 season goals for Real Oviedo, his form is stable
Thiago FernĂĄndez provided 1 assist for Real Oviedo, his form is rising
For Espanyol, Edu ExpĂłsito (1 Goal/6 Assists), Roberto FernĂĄndez (5 Goals/2 Assists), Pere Milla (6 Goals/0 Assists) are not nominated
Goalkeepers
Espanyol's goalkeeper Manuel Iori has achieved 3 clean sheets this season
Real Oviedo's goalkeeper AarĂłn Escandell has recorded no clean sheets in away games this season
Manuel Iori has an average season rating of 6.84
AarĂłn Escandell has an average season rating of 7.13
Influences
The RCDE Stadium records an average of 2.4 total goals per game
In 2 out of 5 games at the RCDE Stadium, both teams scored
Also, in 2 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored
Espanyol scores 1.23 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals
Real Oviedo scores 0.61 goals away and concedes 1.61 goals