La Liga
Mallorca - Espanyol
03/15/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Mallorca
Espanyol
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Espanyol has a higher win probability of 41% compared to Mallorca (32%)
- Form trend: Espanyol shows positive offensive development (currently 1.6 goals on average), while Mallorca's goal production is stagnant (0.6 goals)
- Home advantage: Mallorca's home strength (Ă 1.0 goal conceded per home game) could make a difference despite overall form
Risk Factors
- Mallorca's offense is struggling: Only 0.6 goals on average in the recent form period (advancedStats description)
- Mallorca averages only 2.4 shots on target (few attempts)
- Espanyol's defense is vulnerable: Ă 2.6 goals conceded in recent games (advancedStats.away.recentGoalsConcededAvg)
Overview
Mallorca (18th place, 25 points) host Espanyol (7th place, 37 points) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
La Liga match on March 15, 2026, 2:00 PM
The hosts are fighting against relegation, while the guests are competing for a European spot
Form
Mallorca shows poor form with LLLLD in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Their last match was a 2-2 away draw against Osasuna
Espanyol has a form of LDLDD
They have 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games
Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 home draw against Real Oviedo
Statistics
Mallorca has scored an average of 1.15 goals per game this season and conceded 1.63 goals
At home, they score 1.12 goals and concede 1.0 goal per home game
Espanyol has scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.48 goals
Away from home, they score 1.31 goals and concede 1.62 goals
At Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, the last 5 games averaged 3.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of these games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1, Espanyol won 3, and 1 ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7:9 in favor of Espanyol
The last meeting on September 15, 2025, ended with a 3-2 victory for Espanyol
Espanyol has dominated recent encounters
Key Players
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the top scorer with 18 season goals and 1 assist, although his form is currently declining
SamĂș Costa contributes to midfield strength with 4 season goals and an average rating of 6.82
Mateo Joseph has scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists this season and shows stable form
For Espanyol, Kike GarcĂa is the most dangerous attacker with 6 goals and 1 assist and shows a rising form trend
Edu ExpĂłsito is an important playmaker with 6 assists and a rating of 7.12
Carlos Romero has contributed 5 season goals and 2 assists as a defender
Goalkeepers
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo RomĂĄn has made 22 appearances this season and kept 2 clean sheets for his team
Espanyol's goalkeeper Manuel Iori has recorded 7 clean sheets in 27 games
Influences
Mallorca has a home advantage, as they score an average of 1.12 goals and concede only 1.0 goal at home
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match in the last five encounters
Both teams scored in 80% of these games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%