La Liga
Girona - Athletic Club
03/14/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.7
1.6
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Girona
Athletic Club
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
28%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Athletic Club with 45% probability
- Girona's offense is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.1 goals)
- Athletic Club has been slightly dominant in recent head-to-head encounters with 2 wins to Girona's 1
Risk Factors
- Athletic Club's current goal production is lower (1.0 goal) than their season average (1.2 goals)
- Girona concedes an average of 1.62 goals per home game
- Athletic Club concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away game
Overview
Girona (15th place, 31 points) host Athletic Club (10th place, 35 points) at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga match on March 14, 2026, 2:00 PM
Athletic Club is fighting for international spots, while Girona aims to move away from the relegation zone
Form
Girona's form across all competitions is DWDLD
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The team recently achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Girona recently drew 1:1 against Levante
Athletic Club's form trend shows WWDLL
The team recently achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Athletic Club's last two games ended in a loss
Statistics
Girona scored an average of 1.04 goals per game and conceded 1.59 goals this season
At home, Girona averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded
Athletic Club scored an average of 1.11 goals and conceded 1.37 goals this season
Away, Athletic Club scores 1.08 goals and concedes 1.75 goals
An average of 2.4 goals per game were scored at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona had 1 win, Athletic Club had 2 wins, and there were 2 draws
The goal difference is 6:9 in favor of Athletic Club
The last match between the two teams ended in a 1:1 draw on September 23, 2025
Athletic Club has been slightly dominant in recent encounters
Key Players
For Girona, Vladyslav Vanat (9 goals, 1 assist, declining form trend), Viktor Tsygankov (5 goals, 2 assists, stable form trend), and Azzedine Ounahi (3 goals, 2 assists, rising form trend) are key players
Not nominated for Girona: Thomas Lemar (2T/1A), Bryan Gil (0T/3A), Vitor Reis (1T/1A)
For Athletic Club, Robert Navarro (5 goals, 1 assist), Ălex Berenguer (2 goals, 3 assists, declining form trend), and Iñaki Williams (2 goals, 2 assists) are notable
Not nominated for Athletic Club: Gorka Guruzeta (6T/1A), Unai GĂłmez (1T/1A)
Goalkeepers
Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga has achieved 4 clean sheets this season
Unai SimĂłn of Athletic Club recorded 5 clean sheets
Influences
Girona has scored an average of 1.00 goals at home and conceded 1.62 goals
The Estadi Municipal de Montilivi has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
The home team plays on grass