La Liga
Real Betis - Celta de Vigo
03/15/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Real Betis
Celta de Vigo
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
27%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The model slightly favors Celta de Vigo with a 44% away win probability
- Form Advantage: Celta de Vigo showed better form in the last 5 games with 3 wins and 1 draw
- Head-to-Head Record: Celta de Vigo dominated the recent 5 encounters with 2 wins and 2 draws
Risk Factors
- Both teams had only 3 days rest since their last match, which may lead to fatigue
- Real Betis' recent goal production of 1.0 goals per game is below their season average of 1.8 goals
- Celta de Vigo's recent goal production of 1.4 goals per game is below their season average of 1.6 goals
Overview
Real Betis (5th place, 43 points) host Celta de Vigo (6th place, 40 points) at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla
La Liga match on March 15, 2026, 6:30 PM
Both teams are fighting for European qualification spots
Form
Real Betis' form in the last five games is WDDLL
This equates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Goal production is stalling with an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.8
Celta de Vigo's form in the last five games is WWWLD
This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Celta de Vigo's goal production is stalling with an average of 1.4 goals, while the season average is 1.6
Statistics
Real Betis scores an average of 1.56 goals per game and concedes 1.26 goals
In home games, Real Betis scores an average of 1.56 goals and concedes 0.94 goals
Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.37 goals per game and concedes 1.11 goals
In away games, Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.42 goals and concedes 1.08 goals
Matches at the Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla average 3.4 total goals
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches, and 80% of the matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Real Betis won 1, Celta de Vigo won 2, and 2 were draws
Real Betis scored 8 goals, Celta de Vigo scored 9 goals
The last encounter on August 27, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Cucho HernĂĄndez (Attacker) is a key offensive player for Real Betis with 8 goals and 3 assists
Abde Ezzalzouli (Attacker) contributes to Real Betis' goal threat with 5 goals and 5 assists
Pablo Fornals (Midfielder) has scored 6 goals and provided 4 assists for Real Betis
Ferran JutglĂ (Attacker) is an important player for Celta de Vigo with 4 goals and 1 assist
Pablo DurĂĄn (Attacker) has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists for Celta de Vigo
Ăscar Mingueza (Defender) recorded 1 goal and 3 assists for Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo is missing 3 key players, reducing the usual starting XI strength to 77% of active goal share
Goalkeepers
Real Betis goalkeeper Ălvaro Valles has recorded 8 clean sheets in 19 appearances
Celta de Vigo goalkeeper IonuÈ Radu has recorded 8 clean sheets in 27 appearances
Influences
The Estadio OlĂmpico de Sevilla averages 3.4 total goals per game
Historically, both teams scored in 80% of matches, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals
Real Betis scores an average of 1.56 home goals and concedes 0.94 goals at home
Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.42 away goals and concedes 1.08 goals away